Aidan Meyler

Research output

Working papers

1. Allayioti, Anastasia & Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Botelho, Vasco & Fagandini, Bruno & Fonseca, Luís & Healy, Peter & Meyler, Aidan & Minasian, Ryan & Zahrt, Octavia, 2024. "A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF," Occasional Paper Series 364, European Central Bank.
2. Reiche, Lovisa & Meyler, Aidan, 2022. "Making sense of consumer inflation expectations: the role of uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2642, European Central Bank.
   • Lovisa Reiche & Aidan Meyler, 2022. "Making Sense of Consumer Inflation Expectations: The Role of Uncertainty," European Economy - Discussion Papers 159, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
3. Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
4. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
5. Meyler, Aidan, 2020. "Forecast performance in the ECB SPF: ability or chance?," Working Paper Series 2371, European Central Bank.
6. Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Dieden, Heinz Christian & Duca, Ioana & Friz, Roberta & Gayer, Christian & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Pavlova, Iskra, 2017. "EU consumers’ quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations: an evaluation," Occasional Paper Series 186, European Central Bank.
   • Rodolfo Arioli & Colm Bates & Heinz Dieden & Ioana Duca & Roberta Friz & Christian Gayer & Geoff Kenny & Aidan Meyler & Iskra Pavlova, 2016. "EU Consumers’ Quantitative Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: An Evaluation," European Economy - Discussion Papers 038, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
7. Meyler, Aidan & Grothe, Magdalena, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," Working Paper Series 1865, European Central Bank.
   • Magdalena Grothe & Aidan Meyler, 2018. "Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 171-188, January.
   • Grothe, Magdalena & Meyler, Aidan, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," MPRA Paper 66982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
8. Druant, Martine & Vanhala, Juuso & Ktoris, Michalis & Jarvis, Valerie & Bouchet, Muriel & Budnik, Katarzyna & Childs, Claire & Kuttner, Nicole & Spooner, Magdalena & De Mulder, Jan & Bonthuis, Boele &, 2012. "Euro area labour markets and the crisis," Occasional Paper Series 138, European Central Bank.
9. Kivistö, Jarkko & Bardet-Fremann, Pierre-Michel & Panagiotou, Stelios & Vladova, Zornitsa & Tsalinski, Tsvetan & Page, Adrian & Komzakova, Magdalena & Kaarup, Ri & Ervens, Sabine & Berardi, Nicoletta , 2011. "Structural features of distributive trades and their impact on prices in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 128, European Central Bank.
10. Cornille, David & Meyler, Aidan, 2010. "The behaviour of consumer gas prices in an environment of high and volatile oil prices," MPRA Paper 39099, University Library of Munich, Germany.
11. Kenny, Geoff & Genre, Véronique & Meyler, Aidan & Timmermann, Allan, 2010. "Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average?," Working Paper Series 1277, European Central Bank.
12. Donoval, Milan & Gautier, Erwan & Nuño, Galo & Nakov, Anton & Jiménez, Noelia & de los Llanos Matea, María & Estrada, Ángel & Zioutou, Pinelopi & Bragoudakis, Zacharias & Weymes, Laura & O'Brien, Derr, 2010. "Energy markets and the euro area macroeconomy," Occasional Paper Series 113, European Central Bank.
13. Meyler, Aidan & Rubene, Ieva, 2009. "Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)," MPRA Paper 20751, University Library of Munich, Germany.
14. Kenny, Geoff & Genre, Véronique & Bowles, Carlos & Friz, Roberta & Meyler, Aidan & Rautanen, Tuomas, 2007. "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience," Occasional Paper Series 59, European Central Bank.
15. Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "A Statistical Measure Of Core Inflation," Research Technical Papers 2/RT/99, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "A statistical measure of core inflation," MPRA Paper 11362, University Library of Munich, Germany.
16. Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "The Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) in a Small Open Economy: The Irish Context," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/99, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "The non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) in a small open economy: The irish context," MPRA Paper 11363, University Library of Munich, Germany.
17. Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/99, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," MPRA Paper 11361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
18. Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/98, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Bayesian VAR Models for Forecasting Irish Inflation," MPRA Paper 11360, University Library of Munich, Germany.
19. Aidan Meyler, 1998. "Technology and Foreign Direct Investment in Ireland," Economics Technical Papers 9810, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
20. Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/98, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Meyler, Aidan & Kenny, Geoff & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Forecasting irish inflation using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 11359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
21. Aidan Meyler & Eric Strobl, 1997. "Regional Employment Performance of Irish Industry, 1972-96: A Job Flow Analysis," Economics Technical Papers 979, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.

Articles

1. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kouvavas, Omiros & Meyler, Aidan & Neves, Pedro, 2023. "What do consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 6.
2. Andersson, Malin & Battistini, Niccolò & Meyler, Aidan & De Santis, Roberto A., 2022. "Does the private sector foresee a stagflation episode?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
3. Gόrnicka, Lucyna & Meyler, Aidan, 2022. "Does the tail wag the dog? A closer look at recent movements in the distributions of professional forecasters’ inflation expectations," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 6.
4. Kuik, Friderike & Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Meyler, Aidan & Lis, Eliza, 2022. "Energy price developments in and out of the COVID-19 pandemic – from commodity prices to consumer prices," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
5. Meyer, Justus & Meyler, Aidan & Gόrnicka, Lucyna, 2022. "A closer look at consumers' inflation expectations – evidence from the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 7.
6. Meyler, Aidan & Reiche, Lovisa, 2021. "Making sense of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations – the role of (un)certainty," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
7. Meyler, Aidan & Moreno, Marta Saez & Arioli, Rodolfo & Fischer, Franziska, 2021. "Results of a special survey of professional forecasters on the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 7.
8. de Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert & Dimitrova, Ivelina & Falck, Elisabeth & Henkel, Lukas & Meyler, Aidan, 2019. "Twenty years of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 1.
9. Magdalena Grothe & Aidan Meyler, 2018. "Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 171-188, January.
   • Meyler, Aidan & Grothe, Magdalena, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," Working Paper Series 1865, European Central Bank.
   • Grothe, Magdalena & Meyler, Aidan, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," MPRA Paper 66982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
10. Genre, Véronique & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Timmermann, Allan, 2013. "Combining expert forecasts: Can anything beat the simple average?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 108-121.
11. Carlos Bowles & Roberta Friz & Veronique Genre & Geoff Kenny & Aidan Meyler & Tuomas Rautanen, 2010. "An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(2), pages 1-28.
12. Meyler, Aidan, 2009. "The pass through of oil prices into euro area consumer liquid fuel prices in an environment of high and volatile oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 867-881, November.
13. Aidan Meyler & Eric Strobl, 2000. "Job Generation and Regional Industrial Policy in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 31(2), pages 111-128.