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The Future of the World's Fishery Resources: Forecasts of Demand, Supply and Prices to the Year 2000 with a Discussion of Implications for Public Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Bell, Frederick W.
  • Nash, Darrel A.
  • Carlson, Ernest W.
  • Waugh, Frederick V.
  • Kinoshita, Richard K.
  • Fullenbaum, Richard F.

Abstract

In the past few years, the world comunity has become increasingly aware of the sea and its resources. The increasing pressure of world population expansion is expected to lead to more intensive . exploitation of the fishery resources of the world's oceans. It is the purpose.of this study to integrate all relevant biological and utilization factors into one complete model of the world demand and supply for seafood products. Forecasts of anticipated consumption and expected price over the ,next 30 years are derived within the framework of the model. The species which are studied include : (1) Tuna (?) Salmon„.(3) Groundfish ..(4) Halibut, (5) Sardines (6) Shrimp (7) Crabs,, (8) Lobsters, (9) Oysters, (10) Clams, '(a) Scallops, and (12) other food fj.sh. With the exception of sardines, oysters, clams, and scallops it is estimated that all of the species will reach the point of maximum sustainable supply in the l985.-2000 period. Policy implications are discussed and possible program areas are outlined.

Suggested Citation

  • Bell, Frederick W. & Nash, Darrel A. & Carlson, Ernest W. & Waugh, Frederick V. & Kinoshita, Richard K. & Fullenbaum, Richard F., 1970. "The Future of the World's Fishery Resources: Forecasts of Demand, Supply and Prices to the Year 2000 with a Discussion of Implications for Public Policy," File Manuscripts, United States National Marine Fisheries Service, Economic Research Division, number 233219, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:usnmfm:233219
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.233219
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kinoshita, Richard K. & Bell, Frederick W., 1969. "Major Economic Trends in Selected U.S. Master Plan Fisheries: A Graphical Survey," Working Papers 233026, United States Bureau of Commercial Fisheries, Division of Economic Research.
    2. H. Scott Gordon, 1954. "The Economic Theory of a Common-Property Resource: The Fishery," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Chennat Gopalakrishnan (ed.), Classic Papers in Natural Resource Economics, chapter 9, pages 178-203, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. Working, Holbrook, 1922. "Factors Determining the Price of Potatoes in St. Paul and Minneapolis," Technical Bulletins 7528, University of Minnesota, Agricultural Experiment Station.
    4. Waugh, Frederick V. & Norton, Virgil J., 1969. "Some Analyses of Fish Prices," Working Papers 232953, United States Bureau of Commercial Fisheries, Division of Economic Research.
    5. Unknown, 1970. "Basic Economic Indicators Salmon," File Manuscripts, United States National Marine Fisheries Service, Economic Research Division, number 233218, June.
    6. Bell, Frederick W., 1969. "Economic Projections of the World Demand and Supply of Tuna, 1970-90," Working Papers 232948, United States Bureau of Commercial Fisheries, Division of Economic Research.
    7. H. Scott Gordon, 1954. "The Economic Theory of a Common-Property Resource: The Fishery," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(2), pages 124-124.
    8. Anonymous, 1969. "I. United Nations," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 971-989, October.
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