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Housing Dynamics, Empirical Facts and the Business Cycle

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  • Guo, Zi-Yi

Abstract

The recent financial crisis has witnessed the importance of the housing markets in macroeconomic fluctuations. We investigate the correlation between housing dynamics and the business cycle for a variety of countries. Our empirical results confirm the two daunting facts faced by lots of macroeconomic modelers: (i) house prices are highly volatile and closely correlated with the business cycle, which is at odds with the evidence that rental prices are relatively stable and almost uncorrelated with the business cycle; and (ii) residential investment leads the business cycle while nonresidential investment moves contemporaneously with the business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Zi-Yi, 2017. "Housing Dynamics, Empirical Facts and the Business Cycle," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(2), pages 46-53.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:168348
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Roman Sustek & Peter Rupert & Finn Kydland, 2012. "Housing Dynamics," 2012 Meeting Papers 315, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marco Angelo Marinoni & Anna Maria Fellegara, 2019. "The Effect of the Profitability on the Valuation Models: Evidence from Italian Acquisitions," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(5), pages 95-110, May.
    2. Shawn L. Robey & Mark A McKnight & Misty R. Price & Rachel N. Coleman, 2019. "Considerations for a Regression-Based Real Estate Valuation and Appraisal Model: A Pilot Study," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(2), pages 1-99, May.

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