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Does Gold Investment Offer Protection Against Stock Market Losses? Evidence From Five Countries

Author

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  • MOHD FAHMI GHAZALI

    (Labuan Faculty of International Finance, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, 87000 Federal Territory of Labuan, Malaysia)

  • HOOI HOOI LEAN

    (#x2020;Economics Program, School of Social Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia, 11800 Penang, Malaysia)

  • ZAKARIA BAHARI

    (#x2021;Centre for Islamic Development Management (ISDEV), Universiti Sains Malaysia, Malaysia)

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the characteristics of gold as a diversifier, a hedge or a safe haven against the stock market collapse in five countries. We propose the standard and quantile techniques in the volatility models, with the time-varying conditional variance of the regression residuals based on the TGARCH specifications. Gold exhibits considerable evidence of the strong hedge in India and the US and diversified role in China. With regards to its role as a safe haven, gold retains its status as a key investment particularly in a country where gold has a preeminent cultural role, i.e., India, as well as in the US and the UK. On the contrary, gold only plays a minor role in emerging markets like in Malaysia. Therefore, investors in India and the US can use gold to protect against losses in the stock market at all times, whereas in the UK, gold is only viewed as a profitable asset to own during the stock market collapse. Contrariwise, Chinese investors should hold a well-diversified portfolio to earn sustainable returns and offer protection against the stock market collapse. We conclude that the recent worldwide financial crises have increased the investment demand for gold over the last 17 years at least.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohd Fahmi Ghazali & Hooi Hooi Lean & Zakaria Bahari, 2020. "Does Gold Investment Offer Protection Against Stock Market Losses? Evidence From Five Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(02), pages 275-301, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:65:y:2020:i:02:n:s021759081950036x
    DOI: 10.1142/S021759081950036X
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hongjun Zeng & Ran Lu & Abdullahi D. Ahmed, 2023. "Dynamic dependencies and return connectedness among stock, gold and Bitcoin markets: Evidence from South Asia and China," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 49-87, March.
    2. Morema, Kgotso & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2020. "The impact of oil and gold price fluctuations on the South African equity market: Volatility spillovers and financial policy implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Hemant Manuj, 2021. "Is Gold a Hedge against Stock Price Risk in U.S. or Indian Markets?," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-14, September.
    4. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Sourav Batabyal, 2022. "Carbon Futures and Clean Energy Stocks: Do They Hedge or Safe Haven against the Climate Policy Uncertainty?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-11, September.
    5. Marek Nagy & Katarina Valaskova & Erika Kovalova & Marcel Macura, 2024. "Drivers of S&P 500’s Profitability: Implications for Investment Strategy and Risk Management," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-24, March.
    6. Sánchez Arévalo, Jorge Luis & Ferreira de Andrade, Alisson Maxwell & de Oliveira Vendramin, Elisabeth, 2023. "Ibovespa’s response to the behavior of oil and ore prices during the international crisis caused by COVID-19," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 15(1), pages 21-43, January.
    7. Charteris, Ailie & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Feedback trading in retail-dominated assets: Evidence from the gold bullion coin market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    8. Salisu, Afees A. & Akinsomi, Omokolade & Ametefe, Frank Kwakutse & Hammed, Yinka S., 2024. "Gold market volatility and REITs' returns during tranquil and turbulent episodes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).

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