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Carbon Futures and Clean Energy Stocks: Do They Hedge or Safe Haven against the Climate Policy Uncertainty?

Author

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  • Mohammad Enamul Hoque

    (BRAC Business School, BRAC University, 66 Mohakhali, Dhaka 1212, Bangladesh)

  • Sourav Batabyal

    (Department of Finance and Economics, E. Craig Wall Sr. College of Business Administration, Coastal Carolina University, 119 Chanticleer Drive West, Conway, SC 29526, USA
    Grant Center for Real Estate and Economics, E. Craig Wall Sr. College of Business Administration, Coastal Carolina University, 119 Chanticleer Drive West, Conway, SC 29526, USA)

Abstract

Using the GARCH model and quantile regression with dummy variables, we investigate the hedging and safe haven properties of carbon futures and clean energy stocks against the U.S. climate policy uncertainty ( CPU ). We discover that carbon futures and clean energy stocks have a weak hedge and a semi-strong safe haven in different market conditions. Carbon futures exhibit a strong safe haven in both bull and bear markets, depending on the degree of uncertainty. Clean energy stocks, on the other hand, possess a weak hedge across market conditions and a strong safe haven in bull markets. Sub-sample analyses of prior- and post-Paris Agreement of 2016 also exhibit consistent results for safe haven properties of carbon futures and clean energy stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Sourav Batabyal, 2022. "Carbon Futures and Clean Energy Stocks: Do They Hedge or Safe Haven against the Climate Policy Uncertainty?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-11, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:9:p:397-:d:908350
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ziadat, Salem Adel & Mensi, Walid & Al-Kharusi, Sami & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Are clean energy markets hedges for stock markets? A tail quantile connectedness regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & M. Kabir Hassan & Luca Pezzo, 2024. "Managing risk and reaping rewards: Climate‐change futures as a game‐changer for energy futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 1338-1356, August.
    4. Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
    5. Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and its relationship with precious metals price volatility: Comparative analysis pre and during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    6. Romero, Eva, 2024. "Fitting complex stochastic volatility models using Laplace approximation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 43947, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    7. Su, Chi Wei & Wei, Shenkai & Wang, Yan & Tao, Ran, 2024. "How does climate policy uncertainty affect the carbon market?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).

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