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Price Discovery across the Stock Index Futures and the ETF Markets: Intra-Day Evidence from the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and DJIA Indices

Author

Listed:
  • Mei-Maun Hseu

    (Department of Finance, Chihlee Institute of Technology, Taiwan)

  • Huimin Chung

    (Graduate Institute of Finance, National Chiao Tung University, Taiwan)

  • Erh-Yin Sun

    (Department of Finance, Overseas Chinese Institute of Technology and Department of Management Science, National Chiao Tung University, Taiwan)

Abstract

This paper investigates the intra-day price dynamics of the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and DJIA indices for the periods both before and after the Nasdaq market crash which occurred between March 2000 and March 2001. We explore the relative price efficiencies of the three indices in the spot, futures, E-mini futures and ETF markets, and find that a cointegrating relationship existed between the three indices during the period after the crash. This would seem to imply that in the aftermath of the crash, the three indices shared common macroeconomic fundamentals.We find that where there is some disturbance in the equilibrium relationship between the indices, the market which adjusts to retain equilibrium is the Nasdaq-100 market. In the long run, the S&P 500 index leads the other index contracts, a finding which is consistent with the trading cost hypothesis. Nevertheless, the Nasdaq-100 index retains short-run price leadership over both the S&P 500 and DJIA indices.

Suggested Citation

  • Mei-Maun Hseu & Huimin Chung & Erh-Yin Sun, 2007. "Price Discovery across the Stock Index Futures and the ETF Markets: Intra-Day Evidence from the S&P 500, Nasdaq-100 and DJIA Indices," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 215-236.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:10:y:2007:i:02:n:s0219091507001045
    DOI: 10.1142/S0219091507001045
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Palani-Rajan Kadapakkam & Timothy Krause & Yiuman Tse, 2015. "Exchange traded funds, size-based portfolios, and market efficiency," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 89-110, July.
    2. Shuxin Guo, 2021. "Do futures lead the index under stress? Evidence from the 2015 Chinese market turmoil and its aftermath," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 91-110, January.
    3. Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Ali Parhizgari, 2017. "Major Currency ETFs and Their Associated Spot and Futures Rates," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-32, December.
    4. Ying Jiang & Shamim Ahmed & Xiaoquan Liu, 2017. "Volatility forecasting in the Chinese commodity futures market with intraday data," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1123-1173, May.
    5. Staer, Arsenio & Sottile, Pedro, 2018. "Equivalent volume and comovement," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 143-157.
    6. Priya Malhotra & Pankaj Sinha, 2023. "Exchange-traded Funds in India Amid COVID-19 Crisis: An Empirical Analysis of the Performance," Metamorphosis: A Journal of Management Research, , vol. 22(1), pages 38-54, June.
    7. Edward Curran & Jack Hunt & Vito Mollica, 2020. "Trading protocols and price discovery: Implicit transaction costs in Indian single stock futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(11), pages 1793-1806, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ETF; E-mini; Nasdaq crash; price discovery;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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