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Does Index Futures Dominate Index Spot? Evidence from Taiwan Market

Author

Listed:
  • Ching-Chung Lin

    (Department of Business Administration, National Cheng Kung University and Kao-Yuan Institute of Technology, Taiwan, R.O.C.)

  • Shen-Yuan Chen

    (Department of Finance, Ming Chuan University, Taiwan, R.O.C.)

  • Dar-Yeh Hwang

    (Department of Finance, National Taiwan University, Taiwan, R.O.C.)

  • Chien-Fu Lin

    (Department of Economics, National Taiwan University, Taiwan, R.O.C.)

Abstract

By utilizing vector error correction model (VECM) and EGARCH model, this article uses 5-minute intraday data to examine the interaction of return and volatility between Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) and the newly introduced TAIEX futures. VECM model shows that there exists bi-directional Granger causality between index spot and index futures markets, but spot market plays a more important role in price discovery. The results of impulse response function and information share indicate that most of the price discovery happens in index spot market. The evidence of EGRACH shows that the impacts of spot and futures innovations are asymmetrical, and the volatility spillovers between spot and futures markets are bi-directional. However, the information flow from spot to futures is stronger. These results suggest that the TAIEX spot market dominates the TAIEX futures market in terms of return and volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Ching-Chung Lin & Shen-Yuan Chen & Dar-Yeh Hwang & Chien-Fu Lin, 2002. "Does Index Futures Dominate Index Spot? Evidence from Taiwan Market," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(02), pages 255-275.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:rpbfmp:v:05:y:2002:i:02:n:s021909150200078x
    DOI: 10.1142/S021909150200078X
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2016. "The day the index rose 11 %: a clinical study on price discovery reversal," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 79-106, January.
    2. Tswei, Keshin & Lai, Jing-yi, 2009. "Information contents misjudged: Digressive convergence to equilibrium in cointegrated prices," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 183-189, October.
    3. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2016. "The day the index rose 11 %: a clinical study on price discovery reversal," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 79-106, January.
    4. Mohammed Arshad Khan & Md. Mobashshir Hussain & Asif Pervez & Mohd Atif & Rohit Bansal & Hamad A. Alhumoudi & Miaochao Chen, 2022. "Intraday Price Discovery between Spot and Futures Markets of NIFTY 50: An Empirical Study during the Times of COVID-19," Journal of Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-9, August.
    5. Yang Hou & Steven Li, 2013. "Price Discovery in Chinese Stock Index Futures Market: New Evidence Based on Intraday Data," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 20(1), pages 49-70, March.
    6. Keshin Tswei & Jing‐yi Lai, 2009. "Information contents misjudged: Digressive convergence to equilibrium in cointegrated prices," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(4), pages 183-189, October.
    7. Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi & Ali Parhizgari, 2017. "Major Currency ETFs and Their Associated Spot and Futures Rates," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(04), pages 1-32, December.
    8. Sunil S. Poshakwale & Jude W. Taunson & Anandadeep Mandal & Michael Theobald, 2019. "Lower tick sizes and futures pricing efficiency: evidence from the emerging Malaysian market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1135-1163, November.
    9. Junior, Peterson Owusu & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Padhan, Hemachandra & Alagidede, Imhotep, 2020. "Analysis of EEMD-based quantile-in-quantile approach on spot- futures prices of energy and precious metals in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Meenakshi Malhotra & Dinesh Kumar Sharma, 2016. "Volatility Dynamics in Oil and Oilseeds Spot and Futures Market in India," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 41(2), pages 132-148, June.
    11. Kang, Sang Hoon & Cheong, Chongcheul & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2013. "Intraday volatility spillovers between spot and futures indices: Evidence from the Korean stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(8), pages 1795-1802.
    12. Gurmeet Singh, 2017. "Estimating Optimal Hedge Ratio and Hedging Effectiveness in the NSE Index Futures," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 6(2), pages 108-131, December.
    13. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2023. "Informational linkage and price discovery between China's futures and spot markets: Evidence from the US–China trade dispute," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    EGARCH; Lead-lag; Price discovery; Taiwan; Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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