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An Iterative Framework for National Scenario Modelling for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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  • Cameron Allen
  • Graciela Metternicht
  • Thomas Wiedmann

Abstract

The recently adopted global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are intended to catalyse implementation of sustainable development. Their success or failure will rely heavily upon national implementation. However, the SDGs represent a broad, integrated and complex agenda that will be very challenging for countries to implement. Over the past decade, scenario analysis has emerged as a method that is particularly well suited to sustainable development and has seen a rapid expansion in national development planning practice. It will be an invaluable tool for governments in formulating their national SDG strategies. However, despite its increased application, there is limited guidance available on the use of scenario modelling in national development planning. By undertaking a review of the recent best practice literature as well as 22 contemporary scenario modelling case studies, this paper draws out lessons learned and proposes an iterative framework for ex ante scenario modelling to support national SDG planning. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and ERP Environment

Suggested Citation

  • Cameron Allen & Graciela Metternicht & Thomas Wiedmann, 2017. "An Iterative Framework for National Scenario Modelling for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 372-385, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:sustdv:v:25:y:2017:i:5:p:372-385
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    1. Mohammed Basheer & Victor Nechifor & Alvaro Calzadilla & Claudia Ringler & David Hulme & Julien J. Harou, 2022. "Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Jaime Guerrero-Villegas & Leticia Pérez-Calero & José Manuel Hurtado-González & Pilar Giráldez-Puig, 2018. "Board Attributes and Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosure: A Meta-Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-22, December.
    3. Ayodele Asekomeh & Obindah Gershon & Smith I. Azubuike, 2021. "Optimally Clocking the Low Carbon Energy Mile to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals: Evidence from Dundee’s Electric Vehicle Strategy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-23, February.
    4. Pamela A. Mischen & George C. Homsy & Carl P. Lipo & Robert Holahan & Valerie Imbruce & Andreas Pape & Weixing Zhu & Joseph Graney & Ziang Zhang & Louisa M. Holmes & Manuel Reina, 2019. "A Foundation for Measuring Community Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-16, March.
    5. Erika Palmer & Robert Burton & Cecilia Haskins, 2020. "A Systems Engineering Framework for Bioeconomic Transitions in a Sustainable Development Goal Context," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-12, August.
    6. Zhou, Yuekuan & Zheng, Siqian, 2024. "A co-simulated material-component-system-district framework for climate-adaption and sustainability transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    7. -, 2018. "Methodological guide on planning for the implementation of the 2030 Agenda in Latin America and the Caribbean," Documentos de Proyectos 44193, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    8. Raghu Raman & Aswathy Sreenivasan & Suresh Ma & Anand Patwardhan & Prema Nedungadi, 2023. "Green Supply Chain Management Research Trends and Linkages to UN Sustainable Development Goals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-27, November.
    9. Smith, Hannah & Discetti, Roberta & Bellucci, Marco & Acuti, Diletta, 2022. "SMEs engagement with the Sustainable Development Goals: A power perspective," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 112-122.
    10. David Tremblay & François Fortier & Jean‐François Boucher & Olivier Riffon & Claude Villeneuve, 2020. "Sustainable development goal interactions: An analysis based on the five pillars of the 2030 agenda," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(6), pages 1584-1596, November.
    11. Hannah Jun & Minseok Kim, 2021. "From Stakeholder Communication to Engagement for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A Case Study of LG Electronics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-19, August.
    12. Bali Swain, Ranjula & Ranganathan, Shyam, 2021. "Modeling interlinkages between sustainable development goals using network analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    13. Ida Kubiszewski & Kenneth Mulder & Diane Jarvis & Robert Costanza, 2022. "Toward better measurement of sustainable development and wellbeing: A small number of SDG indicators reliably predict life satisfaction," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 139-148, February.
    14. Seyed Meysam Khoshnava & Raheleh Rostami & Rosli Mohamad Zin & Dalia Štreimikienė & Alireza Yousefpour & Wadim Strielkowski & Abbas Mardani, 2019. "Aligning the Criteria of Green Economy (GE) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to Implement Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-23, August.

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