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Assessing Major Accident Risks to Support Land‐Use Planning Using a Severity‐Vulnerability Combination Method: A Case Study in Dagushan Peninsula, China

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  • Shuming Ma
  • Shushen Zhang
  • Chen Yu
  • Hongbo Zheng
  • Guobao Song
  • Henry Musoke Semakula
  • Yingying Chai

Abstract

Major accident risks posed by chemical hazards have raised major social concerns in today's China. Land‐use planning has been adopted by many countries as one of the essential elements for accident prevention. This article aims at proposing a method to assess major accident risks to support land‐use planning in the vicinity of chemical installations. This method is based on the definition of risk by the Accidental Risk Assessment Methodology for IndustrieS (ARAMIS) project and it is an expansion application of severity and vulnerability assessment tools. The severity and vulnerability indexes from the ARAMIS methodology are employed to assess both the severity and vulnerability levels, respectively. A risk matrix is devised to support risk ranking and compatibility checking. The method consists of four main steps and is presented in geographical information‐system‐based maps. As an illustration, the proposed method is applied in Dagushan Peninsula, China. The case study indicated that the method could not only aid risk regulations on existing land‐use planning, but also support future land‐use planning by offering alternatives or influencing the plans at the development stage, and thus further enhance the roles and influence of land‐use planning in the accident prevention activities in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuming Ma & Shushen Zhang & Chen Yu & Hongbo Zheng & Guobao Song & Henry Musoke Semakula & Yingying Chai, 2015. "Assessing Major Accident Risks to Support Land‐Use Planning Using a Severity‐Vulnerability Combination Method: A Case Study in Dagushan Peninsula, China," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(8), pages 1503-1519, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:35:y:2015:i:8:p:1503-1519
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12351
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ioannis A Papazoglou & Gerasimos Bonanos & Helen Briassoulis, 2000. "Risk informed decision making in land use planning," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 69-92, January.
    2. Yafei Zhou & Mao Liu, 2012. "Risk Assessment of Major Hazards and its Application in Urban Planning: A Case Study," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(3), pages 566-577, March.
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