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Using Simulation to Evaluate Time to Detect Incursions in Honeybee Biosecurity in Australia

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  • David Clifford
  • Simon Barry
  • David Cook
  • Rob Duthie
  • Denis Anderson

Abstract

A key determinant of the efficiency of a surveillance system for exotic mites is whether an incursion might be detected sufficiently quickly to allow successful management actions to occur. To assess this possibility we have developed a spatial modeling system and synthesized knowledge of honeybee and mite behavior to explore the potential spread of exotic mites and the likelihood of their detection in sentinel hives. We find that increasing the number of hives and the efficiency of the detection method are the most effective means of improving the time to detection.

Suggested Citation

  • David Clifford & Simon Barry & David Cook & Rob Duthie & Denis Anderson, 2011. "Using Simulation to Evaluate Time to Detect Incursions in Honeybee Biosecurity in Australia," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(12), pages 1961-1968, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:31:y:2011:i:12:p:1961-1968
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01607.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Muth, Mary K. & Thurman, Walter N., 1995. "Why Support the Price of Honey?," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 10(2), pages 1-3.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel K. Heersink & Peter Caley & Dean R. Paini & Simon C. Barry, 2016. "Quantifying the Establishment Likelihood of Invasive Alien Species Introductions Through Ports with Application to Honeybees in Australia," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(5), pages 892-903, May.

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