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Estimates of the Number of Liver Carcinogens in Bioassays Conducted by the National Toxicology Program

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  • Kenny S. Crump
  • D. Krewski
  • Y. Wang

Abstract

Estimates were made of the numbers of liver carcinogens in 390 long‐term bioassays conducted by the National Toxicology Program (NTP). These estimates were obtained from examination of the global pattern of p‐values obtained from statistical tests applied to individual bioassays. Representative estimates of the number of liver carcinogens (90% confidence interval in parentheses) obtained in our analysis compared to NTP's determination are as follows: female rats—49 (23, 76), NTP = 30; male rats—88 (59, 116), NTP = 35; female mice—131 (105, 157), NTP = 81; male mice—100 (73, 126), NTP = 61; overall—166 (135, 197), NTP = 108. The estimator from which these estimates were obtained is biased low by an unknown amount. Consequently, this study provides persuasive evidence of the existence of more rodent liver carcinogens than were identified by the NTP.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenny S. Crump & D. Krewski & Y. Wang, 1998. "Estimates of the Number of Liver Carcinogens in Bioassays Conducted by the National Toxicology Program," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(3), pages 299-308, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:18:y:1998:i:3:p:299-308
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1998.tb01297.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gregg E. Dinse & S. W. Lagakos, 1983. "Regression Analysis of Tumour Prevalence Data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 32(3), pages 236-248, November.
    2. J. K. Haseman & M. R. Elwell, 1996. "Evaluation of False Positive and False Negative Outcomes in NTP Long‐Term Rodent Carcinogenicity Studies," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(6), pages 813-820, December.
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