Risk aversion and information aggregation in binary‐asset markets
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.3982/QE1981
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Manski, Charles F., 2006.
"Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 425-429, June.
- Charles F. Manski, 2004. "Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets," NBER Working Papers 10359, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Plott, Charles R & Sunder, Shyam, 1982.
"Efficiency of Experimental Security Markets with Insider Information: An Application of Rational-Expectations Models,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(4), pages 663-698, August.
- Plott, Charles R. & Sunder, Shyam., "undated". "Efficiency of Experimental Security Markets with Insider Information: An Application of Rational Expectations Models," Working Papers 331, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences.
- Benjamin Enke & Thomas Graeber, 2019.
"Cognitive Uncertainty,"
NBER Working Papers
26518, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Benjamin Enke & Thomas Graeber, 2019. "Cognitive Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 7971, CESifo.
- Uri Gneezy & Jan Potters, 1997.
"An Experiment on Risk Taking and Evaluation Periods,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 112(2), pages 631-645.
- Gneezy, U. & Potters, J.J.M., 1996. "An experiment on risk taking and evaluation periods," Other publications TiSEM e48d1f57-1bac-4a83-8772-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Gneezy, U. & Potters, J.J.M., 1997. "An experiment on risk taking and evaluation periods," Other publications TiSEM da6ba1bf-e15c-41b2-ae95-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Gneezy, U. & Potters, J.J.M., 1996. "An experiment on risk taking and evaluation periods," Discussion Paper 1996-61, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers, 2010.
"Explaining the Favorite-Long Shot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 118(4), pages 723-746, August.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers, 2010. "Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?," NBER Working Papers 15923, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin, 2010. "Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?," IZA Discussion Papers 4884, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers, 2010. "Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?," CESifo Working Paper Series 3029, CESifo.
- Wolfers, Justin & Snowberg, Erik, 2010. "Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?," CEPR Discussion Papers 7801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Plott, Charles R & Sunder, Shyam, 1988.
"Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(5), pages 1085-1118, September.
- Plott, Charles R. & Sunder, Shyam., "undated". "Rational Expectations and the Aggregation of Diverse Information in Laboratory Security Markets," Working Papers 463, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences.
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin, 2016. "A theoretical and experimental appraisal of four risk elicitation methods," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 19(3), pages 613-641, September.
- Fellner, Gerlinde & Maciejovsky, Boris, 2007.
"Risk attitude and market behavior: Evidence from experimental asset markets,"
Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 338-350, June.
- Gerlinde Fellner & Boris Maciejovsky, "undated". "Risk Attitude and Market Behavior: Evidence from Experimental Asset Markets," Papers on Strategic Interaction 2002-34, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group.
- John Fountain & Glenn Harrison, 2011. "What do prediction markets predict?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 267-272.
- Deck, Cary & Lee, Jungmin & Reyes, Javier A. & Rosen, Christopher C., 2013. "A failed attempt to explain within subject variation in risk taking behavior using domain specific risk attitudes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1-24.
- Elena Asparouhova & Peter Bossaerts & Jon Eguia & William Zame, 2015. "Asset Pricing and Asymmetric Reasoning," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 123(1), pages 66-122.
- Hellwig, Martin F., 1980. "On the aggregation of information in competitive markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 477-498, June.
- Milgrom, Paul & Stokey, Nancy, 1982.
"Information, trade and common knowledge,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 17-27, February.
- Paul Milgrom & Nancy L.Stokey, 1979. "Information, Trade, and Common Knowledge," Discussion Papers 377R, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
- M. Kathleen Ngangoué & Georg Weizsäcker, 2021.
"Learning from Unrealized versus Realized Prices,"
American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 174-201, May.
- Kathleen Ngangoué & Georg Weizsäcker, 2015. "Learning from Unrealized versus Realized Prices," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1487, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Ngangoue, M. Kathleen & Weizsäcker, Georg, 2018. "Learning From Unrealized versus Realized Prices," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 66, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
- Lionel Page & Christoph Siemroth, 2021. "How Much Information Is Incorporated into Financial Asset Prices? Experimental Evidence," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(9), pages 4412-4449.
- He, Xue-Zhong & Treich, Nicolas, 2017. "Prediction market prices under risk aversion and heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 105-114.
- Charles A. Holt & Susan K. Laury, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(5), pages 1644-1655, December.
- Stephen G. Dimmock & Roy Kouwenberg & Peter P. Wakker, 2016. "Ambiguity Attitudes in a Large Representative Sample," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(5), pages 1363-1380, May.
- Easley, David & Kiefer, Nicholas M & O'Hara, Maureen, 1997. "One Day in the Life of a Very Common Stock," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(3), pages 805-835.
- Chen, Kay-Yut & Plott, Charles R., 2008. "Markets and Information Aggregation Mechanisms," Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, in: Charles R. Plott & Vernon L. Smith (ed.), Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 40, pages 344-352, Elsevier.
- Sean Crockett & Daniel Friedman & Ryan Oprea, 2021. "Naturally Occurring Preferences And General Equilibrium: A Laboratory Study," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 831-859, May.
- Felix Holzmeister & Matthias Stefan, 2021. "The risk elicitation puzzle revisited: Across-methods (in)consistency?," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(2), pages 593-616, June.
- Roland G. Fryer, Jr, 2013. "Information and Student Achievement: Evidence from a Cellular Phone Experiment," NBER Working Papers 19113, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kagel, John H. & Levin, Dan, 1986. "The Winner's Curse and Public Information in Common Value Auctions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(5), pages 894-920, December.
- Isaac, R Mark & James, Duncan, 2000. "Just Who Are You Calling Risk Averse?," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 177-187, March.
- Friedman, Daniel & Isaac, R. Mark & James, Duncan & Sunder, Shyam, 2014. "Risky Curves: On the Empirical Failure of Expected Utility," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt87v8k86z, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
- Serena Guarnaschelli & Anthony M. Kwasnica & Charles R. Plott, 2003. "Information Aggregation in Double Auctions: Rational Expectations and the Winner's Curse," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 63-77, January.
- repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:1:p:407-446 is not listed on IDEAS
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Antonio, Filippin & Marco, Mantovani, 2019. "Risk Aversion and Information Aggregation in Asset Markets," Working Papers 404, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2019.
- Marco Mantovani & Antonio Filippin, 2024. "When do prediction markets return average beliefs? Experimental evidence," Working Papers 532, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
- Friedman, Daniel & Habib, Sameh & James, Duncan & Williams, Brett, 2022. "Varieties of risk preference elicitation," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 58-76.
- Ranganathan, Kavitha & Lejarraga, Tomás, 2021. "Elicitation of risk preferences through satisficing," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2023.
"When Do Security Markets Aggregate Dispersed Information?,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3697-3729, June.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & Kyle Hampton & Erik O. Kimbrough, 2023. "When Do Security Markets Aggregate Dispersed Information?," Post-Print hal-04325683, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2022.
"Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(7), pages 5216-5232, July.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2020. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?," Working Papers halshs-02893291, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2022. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Market : Illusion or Reality?," Post-Print hal-04325544, HAL.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2020. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?," Working Papers 2020, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Brice Corgnet & Cary Deck & Mark DeSantis & David Porter, 2020. "Forecasting Skills in Experimental Markets: Illusion or Reality?," Working Papers 20-27, Chapman University, Economic Science Institute.
- Naranjo, Maria A. & Alpízar, Francisco & Martinsson, Peter, 2019. "Alternatives for Risk Elicitation in the Field: Evidence from Coffee Farmers in Costa Rica," EfD Discussion Paper 19-21, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.
- Gary Charness & Thomas Garcia & Theo Offerman & Marie Claire Villeval, 2020.
"Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 99-123, April.
- Gary Charness & Thomas Garcia & Theo Offerman & Marie Claire Villeval, 2019. "Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?," Working Papers halshs-02146618, HAL.
- Gary Charness & Thomas Garcia & Theo Offerman & Marie Claire Villeval, 2020. "Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?," Post-Print halshs-02908109, HAL.
- Charness, Gary & Garcia, Thomas & Offerman, Theo & Villeval, Marie Claire, 2019. "Do Measures of Risk Attitude in the Laboratory Predict Behavior under Risk in and outside of the Laboratory?," IZA Discussion Papers 12395, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Gary Charness & Thomas Garcia & Theo Offerman & Marie Claire Villeval, 2019. "Do measures of risk attitude in the laboratory predict behavior under risk in and outside of the laboratory?," Working Papers 1921, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
- Menkhoff, Lukas & Sakha, Sahra, 2017.
"Estimating risky behavior with multiple-item risk measures,"
Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 59-86.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Sahra Sakha, 2016. "Estimating Risky Behavior with Multiple-Item Risk Measures," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1608, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Crosetto, P. & Filippin, A., 2017.
"Safe options induce gender differences in risk attitudes,"
Working Papers
2017-05, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin, 2018. "Safe options induce gender differences in risk attitudes," Post-Print hal-01994494, HAL.
- Crosetto, Paolo & Filippin, Antonio, 2017. "Safe Options Induce Gender Differences in Risk Attitudes," IZA Discussion Papers 10793, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin, 2017. "Safe options induce gender differences in risk attitudes," Post-Print hal-01969432, HAL.
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin, 2017. "Safe options induce gender differences in risk attitudes," Working Papers halshs-01529643, HAL.
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin, 2023.
"Safe options and gender differences in risk attitudes,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 19-46, February.
- Paolo Crosetto & Antonio Filippin, 2023. "Safe options and gender differences in risk attitudes," Post-Print hal-04152612, HAL.
- Rafaï, Ismaël & Blayac, Thierry & Dubois, Dimitri & Duchêne, Sébastien & Nguyen-Van, Phu & Ventelou, Bruno & Willinger, Marc, 2023.
"Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with COVID-19 prophylactic measures,"
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
- Phu Nguyen-Van & Thierry Blayac & Dimitri Dubois & Sebastien Duchene & Bruno Ventelou & Marc Willinger, 2023. "Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-27, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Ismaël Rafaï & Thierry Blayac & Dimitri Dubois & Sébastien Duchêne & Phu Nguyen-Van & Bruno Ventelou & Marc Willinger, 2023. "Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures," Post-Print hal-04192470, HAL.
- Ismaël Rafaï & Thierry Blayac & Dimitri Dubois & Sebastien Duchene & Phu Nguyen-Van & Bruno Ventelou & Marc Willinger, 2023. "Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures," Working Papers hal-04219784, HAL.
- Wenting Zhou & John Hey, 2018. "Context matters," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 21(4), pages 723-756, December.
- Fairley, Kim & Parelman, Jacob M. & Jones, Matt & Carter, R. McKell, 2019. "Risky health choices and the Balloon Economic Risk Protocol," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 15-33.
- Christoph Huber & Christian König-Kersting & Matteo M. Marini, 2022. "Experimenting with Financial Professionals," Working Papers 2022-07, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, revised Jun 2024.
- Fidanoski, Filip & Johnson, Timothy, 2023. "A z-Tree implementation of the Dynamic Experiments for Estimating Preferences [DEEP] method," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- Angelini, Giovanni & De Angelis, Luca & Singleton, Carl, 2022.
"Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 282-299.
- Giovanni Angelini & Luca De Angelis & Carl Singleton, 2019. "Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2019-20, Department of Economics, University of Reading, revised 01 Apr 2021.
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric, 2013.
"Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 657-687,
Elsevier.
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers 6720, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric & Snowberg, Erik, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 9059, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 18222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CAMA Working Papers 2012-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 3884, CESifo.
- Michele Garagnani, 2023.
"The predictive power of risk elicitation tasks,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 165-192, October.
- Michele Garagnani, 2020. "The predictive power of risk elicitation tasks," ECON - Working Papers 362, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Lunawat, Radhika, 2021. "Learning from trading activity in laboratory security markets with higher-order uncertainty," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:quante:v:14:y:2023:i:2:p:753-798. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/essssea.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.