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Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods

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  • Dana Galizia

Abstract

Unlike linear ones, nonlinear business cycle models can generate sustained fluctuations even in the absence of shocks (e.g., via limit cycles/chaos). A popular approach to solving nonlinear models is perturbation methods. I show that, as typically implemented, these methods are incapable of finding solutions featuring limit cycles or chaos. Fundamentally, solutions are only required not to explode, while standard perturbation algorithms seek solutions that meet the stronger requirement of convergence to the steady state. I propose a modification to standard algorithms that does not impose this overly strong requirement.

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  • Dana Galizia, 2021. "Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 869-901, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:quante:v:12:y:2021:i:3:p:869-901
    DOI: 10.3982/QE1491
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Beaudry & Dana Galizia & Franck Portier, 2020. "Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(1), pages 1-47, January.
    2. Kazuo Nishimura & Florian Pelgrin & Alain Venditti, 2022. "Medium term endogenous fluctuations in three-sector optimal growth models," Working Papers hal-03923999, HAL.
    3. Pelgrin, Florian & Venditti, Alain, 2022. "On the long-run fluctuations of inheritance in two-sector OLG models," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    4. Alexeeva, Tatyana A. & Kuznetsov, Nikolay V. & Mokaev, Timur N., 2021. "Study of irregular dynamics in an economic model: attractor localization and Lyapunov exponents," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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