IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/navres/v62y2015i3p206-214.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Technical note – operational statistics: Properties and the risk‐averse case

Author

Listed:
  • Mengshi Lu
  • J. George Shanthikumar
  • Zuo‐Jun Max Shen

Abstract

Consider a repeated newsvendor problem for managing the inventory of perishable products. When the parameter of the demand distribution is unknown, it has been shown that the traditional separated estimation and optimization (SEO) approach could lead to suboptimality. To address this issue, an integrated approach called operational statistics (OS) was developed by Chu et al., Oper Res Lett 36 (2008) 110–116. In this note, we first study the properties of this approach and compare its performance with that of the traditional SEO approach. It is shown that OS is consistent and superior to SEO. The benefit of using OS is larger when the demand variability is higher. We then generalize OS to the risk‐averse case under the conditional value‐at‐risk (CVaR) criterion. To model risk from both demand sampling and future demand uncertainty, we introduce a new criterion, called the total CVaR, and find the optimal OS under this new criterion. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 206–214, 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Mengshi Lu & J. George Shanthikumar & Zuo‐Jun Max Shen, 2015. "Technical note – operational statistics: Properties and the risk‐averse case," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 62(3), pages 206-214, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:62:y:2015:i:3:p:206-214
    DOI: 10.1002/nav.21623
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.21623
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/nav.21623?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gotoh, Jun-ya & Takano, Yuichi, 2007. "Newsvendor solutions via conditional value-at-risk minimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 80-96, May.
    2. Peter Berling & Kaj Rosling, 2005. "The Effects of Financial Risks on Inventory Policy," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(12), pages 1804-1815, December.
    3. Ahmed, Shabbir & Cakmak, Ulas & Shapiro, Alexander, 2007. "Coherent risk measures in inventory problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 226-238, October.
    4. Donald L. Iglehart, 1964. "The Dynamic Inventory Problem with Unknown Demand Distribution," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(3), pages 429-440, April.
    5. R. H. Hayes, 1969. "Statistical Estimation Problems in Inventory Control," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(11), pages 686-701, July.
    6. Alp Akcay & Bahar Biller & Sridhar Tayur, 2011. "Improved Inventory Targets in the Presence of Limited Historical Demand Data," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 13(3), pages 297-309, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Prak, Dennis & Teunter, Ruud & Syntetos, Aris, 2017. "On the calculation of safety stocks when demand is forecasted," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(2), pages 454-461.
    2. Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias, 2012. "Evaluating alternative frequentist inferential approaches for optimal order quantities in the newsvendor model under exponential demand," MPRA Paper 39650, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Guo, Min & Chen, Yu-wang & Wang, Hongwei & Yang, Jian-Bo & Zhang, Keyong, 2019. "The single-period (newsvendor) problem under interval grade uncertainties," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(1), pages 198-216.
    4. Halkos, George & Kevork, Ilias, 2012. "Unbiased estimation of maximum expected profits in the Newsvendor Model: a case study analysis," MPRA Paper 40724, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Gatti, Stefano, 2013. "Risk analysis with contractual default. Does covenant breach matter?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 431-443.
    6. Werner Jammernegg & Peter Kischka, 2007. "Risk-averse and risk-taking newsvendors: a conditional expected value approach," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 93-110, April.
    7. Arcelus, F.J. & Kumar, Satyendra & Srinivasan, G., 2012. "Risk tolerance and a retailer's pricing and ordering policies within a newsvendor framework," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 188-198, April.
    8. Shifeng Han & Xingzhong Xu, 2018. "NEV supply chain coordination and sustainability considering sales effort and risk aversion under the CVaR criterion," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(6), pages 1-39, June.
    9. Wu, Meng & Zhu, Stuart X. & Teunter, Ruud H., 2013. "The risk-averse newsvendor problem with random capacity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 328-336.
    10. Grubbström, Robert W., 2010. "The Newsboy problem when customer demand is a compound renewal process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 134-142, May.
    11. Wu, Meng & Zhu, Stuart X. & Teunter, Ruud H., 2014. "A risk-averse competitive newsvendor problem under the CVaR criterion," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 13-23.
    12. Uhan, Nelson A., 2015. "Stochastic linear programming games with concave preferences," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(2), pages 637-646.
    13. Mario Brandtner, 2016. "Spektrale Risikomaße: Konzeption, betriebswirtschaftliche Anwendungen und Fallstricke," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 75-115, April.
    14. Rossi, Roberto & Prestwich, Steven & Tarim, S. Armagan & Hnich, Brahim, 2014. "Confidence-based optimisation for the newsvendor problem under binomial, Poisson and exponential demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 239(3), pages 674-684.
    15. Rahimian, Hamed & Bayraksan, Güzin & Homem-de-Mello, Tito, 2019. "Controlling risk and demand ambiguity in newsvendor models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(3), pages 854-868.
    16. Van Delft, Christian & Kerbache, Laoucine & El Khoury, Hiba, 2011. "Optimal strategy for stochastic product rollover under risk using CVAR analysis," HEC Research Papers Series 958, HEC Paris.
    17. Woonghee Tim Huh & Retsef Levi & Paat Rusmevichientong & James B. Orlin, 2011. "Adaptive Data-Driven Inventory Control with Censored Demand Based on Kaplan-Meier Estimator," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(4), pages 929-941, August.
    18. Qiu, Ruozhen & Shang, Jennifer & Huang, Xiaoyuan, 2014. "Robust inventory decision under distribution uncertainty: A CVaR-based optimization approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 13-23.
    19. Retsef Levi & Robin O. Roundy & David B. Shmoys, 2007. "Provably Near-Optimal Sampling-Based Policies for Stochastic Inventory Control Models," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 32(4), pages 821-839, November.
    20. Borgonovo, E. & Peccati, L., 2009. "Financial management in inventory problems: Risk averse vs risk neutral policies," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 233-242, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:62:y:2015:i:3:p:206-214. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1520-6750 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.