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Deep Habits in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

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  • THOMAS A. LUBIK
  • WING LEONG TEO

Abstract

We derive and estimate a New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) in a model with deep habits. Habits are deep in that they apply to individual consumption goods instead of aggregate consumption. This alters the NKPC in a fundamental manner since it introduces consumption growth and future demand terms into the NKPC equation. We construct the driving process in the deep habits NKPC by using the model's optimality conditions to impute time series for unobservable variables. The resulting series is considerably more volatile than unit labor cost. Generalized methods of moments estimation shows an improved fit and a much lower degree of indexation compared to the standard NKPC.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas A. Lubik & Wing Leong Teo, 2014. "Deep Habits in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(1), pages 79-114, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:79-114
    DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12098
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips curve : lessons from single-equation econometric estimation," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 94(Fall), pages 361-395.
    12. Krause, Michael U. & Lopez-Salido, David J. & Lubik, Thomas A., 2008. "Do search frictions matter for inflation dynamics?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(8), pages 1464-1479, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Havranek, Tomas & Rusnak, Marek & Sokolova, Anna, 2017. "Habit formation in consumption: A meta-analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 142-167.
    2. Sedjro Aaron Alovokpinhou & Christopher Malikane & Tshepo Mokoka, 2022. "Inventory dynamics and endogenous persistence in a new Keynesian model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(17), pages 1957-1973, April.
    3. Givens, Gregory, 2013. "Deep or aggregate habit formation? Evidence from a new-Keynesian business cycle model," MPRA Paper 45204, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2020_005 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Givens, Gregory E., 2016. "On the gains from monetary policy commitment under deep habits," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 19-36.
    6. Jacob, Punnoose & Uusküla, Lenno, 2019. "Deep habits and exchange rate pass-through," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 67-89.
    7. Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2021. "Optimal monetary policy in a two-country new Keynesian model with deep consumption habits," MPRA Paper 110259, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Leith, Campbell & Moldovan, Ioana & Rossi, Raffaele, 2015. "Monetary and fiscal policy under deep habits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 55-74.
    9. Aloui, Rym, 2024. "Habit formation and the government spending multiplier," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    10. Ambrocio, Gene, 2020. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2020, Bank of Finland.
    11. Ambrocio, Gene, 2020. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Research Discussion Papers 5/2020, Bank of Finland.
    12. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Predicting inflation expectations: A habit-based explanation under hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    13. Krogh, Tord S., 2015. "Macro frictions and theoretical identification of the New Keynesian Phillips curve," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 191-204.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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