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No Eastern and Central European left behind: a cross country regression for fertility, human capital and market economy

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  • Mustafa Seref Akin
  • Valerica Vlad

    (Penn State Erie, The Behrend College, USA)

Abstract

In 1999, fertility rates in Central and Eastern European countries reached the lowest levels in the world. Using panel data, this paper analyses the sharp decline in fertility for these countries during their transition towards a market economy. It extends previous research in three ways: First, it distinguishes education by gender as a proxy for human capital. Second, in addition to GDP more economic variables are used to capture the effect of a declining standard of living, including unemployment. Finally, it tries to capture the relationship between advancement toward a new market economy and fertility. Some of the results reflect some special features of the CEE region: only tertiary education is correlated with fertility; fertility is responsive to a 'business cycle' type of macroeconomic factors, particularly, to female unemployment; and foreign direct investment (FDI) as a proxy for new market economy has a negative association with fertility. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa Seref Akin & Valerica Vlad, 2007. "No Eastern and Central European left behind: a cross country regression for fertility, human capital and market economy," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(7), pages 963-974.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:19:y:2007:i:7:p:963-974
    DOI: 10.1002/jid.1360
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yoram Porath, 1975. "First-generation effects on second-generation fertility," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 12(3), pages 397-405, August.
    2. Mustafa Seref Akin, 2005. "Education and fertility: a panel data analysis for middle eastern countries," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 39(1), pages 55-69, September.
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