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Bitcoin and sentiment

Author

Listed:
  • Hoje Jo
  • Haehean Park
  • Hersh Shefrin

Abstract

Baker and Wurgler identify high sentiment betas with small startup firms that have great growth potential. On the surface, cryptocurrencies share important features in common with high sentiment beta stocks. This paper investigates the degree to which, during the period July 18, 2010–February 26, 2018, the return to bitcoin displayed the characteristics of a high sentiment beta stock. Using a sentiment‐dependent factor model, the analysis indicates that in large measure, bitcoin returns resembled returns to high sentiment beta stocks. Additionally, we show that bitcoin's expected returns are low when sentiment measured by Volatility Index is high while expected returns are high when sentiment is low.

Suggested Citation

  • Hoje Jo & Haehean Park & Hersh Shefrin, 2020. "Bitcoin and sentiment," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1861-1879, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:40:y:2020:i:12:p:1861-1879
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22156
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Shimeng Shi, 2022. "Bitcoin futures risk premia," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2190-2217, December.
    2. Shimeng Shi & Jia Zhai & Yingying Wu, 2024. "Informational inefficiency on bitcoin futures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 642-667, April.
    3. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).

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