IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v39y2019i2p164-185.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Settlement procedures and stock market efficiency

Author

Listed:
  • Emily Lin
  • Carl R. Chen

Abstract

This study examines why most derivatives markets that settle on the day following expiration choose the opening rather than the closing price as the final settlement price (FSP), whereas most markets that settle on the expiration day select an average rather than a single price as the FSP. Four exogenous changes in the Taiwan Futures Exchange settlement procedures provide an experimental basis for studying the settlement procedures’ impact on underlying assets. Greatest market efficiency is observed when the FSP is determined by a single rather than an average price and hypothesize that manipulation is prevented at the expense of market quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Emily Lin & Carl R. Chen, 2019. "Settlement procedures and stock market efficiency," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 164-185, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:39:y:2019:i:2:p:164-185
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.21977
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.21977
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/fut.21977?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christian Schlag, 1996. "Expiration day effects of stock index derivatives in Germany," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 2(1), pages 69-95, March.
    2. Stoll, Hans R & Whaley, Robert E, 1990. "Program Trading and Individual Stock Returns: Ingredients of the Triple-Witching Brew," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(1), pages 165-192, January.
    3. Per Alkeback & Niclas Hagelin, 2004. "Expiration day effects of index futures and options: evidence from a market with a long settlement period," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(6), pages 385-396.
    4. N/A, 2004. "Index for 2004," European Union Politics, , vol. 5(4), pages 511-512, December.
    5. Barclay, Michael J. & Hendershott, Terrence & Jones, Charles M., 2008. "Order Consolidation, Price Efficiency, and Extreme Liquidity Shocks," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(1), pages 93-121, March.
    6. Amihud, Yakov, 2002. "Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 31-56, January.
    7. Charles Cao & Eric Ghysels & Frank Hatheway, 2000. "Price Discovery without Trading: Evidence from the Nasdaq Preopening," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1339-1365, June.
    8. Roger D. Huang, 2002. "The Quality of ECN and Nasdaq Market Maker Quotes," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1285-1319, June.
    9. M. Illueca & J. A. LaFuente, 2006. "New evidence on expiration‐day effects using realized volatility: An intraday analysis for the Spanish stock exchange," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(9), pages 923-938, September.
    10. Ying‐Foon Chow & Haynes H. M. Yung & Hua Zhang, 2003. "Expiration day effects: The case of Hong Kong," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 67-86, January.
    11. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
    12. Amihud, Yakov & Mendelson, Haim, 1987. "Trading Mechanisms and Stock Returns: An Empirical Investigation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 533-553, July.
    13. Stoll, Hans R & Whaley, Robert E, 1990. "Stock Market Structure and Volatility," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(1), pages 37-71.
    14. Andersen T. G & Bollerslev T. & Diebold F. X & Labys P., 2001. "The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 42-55, March.
    15. Anthony F. Herbst & Edwin D. Maberly, 1990. "Stock index futures, expiration day volatility, and the “special” friday opening: A note," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(3), pages 323-325, June.
    16. Chung, Huimin & Hseu, Mei-Maun, 2008. "Expiration day effects of Taiwan index futures: The case of the Singapore and Taiwan Futures Exchanges," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 107-120, April.
    17. Hans R. Stoll, 1988. "Index futures, program trading, and stock market procedures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(4), pages 391-412, August.
    18. Barclay, Michael J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1993. "Stealth trading and volatility : Which trades move prices?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 281-305, December.
    19. Maniar, Hiren M. & Bhatt, Rajesh & Maniyar, Dharmesh M., 2009. ""Expiration hour effect of futures and options markets on stock market" -- A case study on NSE (National Stock Exchange of India)," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 381-391, June.
    20. Bessembinder, Hendrik & Seguin, Paul J, 1992. "Futures-Trading Activity and Stock Price Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(5), pages 2015-2034, December.
    21. Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1993. "Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 473-506.
    22. Hsieh, Shu-Fan & Ma, Tai, 2009. "Expiration-day effects: Does settlement price matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 290-300, March.
    23. Wen‐Liang Gideon Hsieh, 2009. "Expiration‐day effects on individual stocks and the overall market: Evidence from Taiwan," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(10), pages 920-945, October.
    24. Bruno Biais & Pierre Hillion & Chester Spatt, 1999. "Price Discovery and Learning during the Preopening Period in the Paris Bourse," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(6), pages 1218-1248, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Henryk Gurgul & Milena Suliga, 2020. "Impact of futures expiration on underlying stocks: intraday analysis for Warsaw Stock Exchange," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 28(3), pages 869-904, September.
    2. Matthew Clifton, 2010. "Liquidity and Efficiency During Unusual Market Conditions: An Analysis of Short Selling Restrictions and Expiration-Day Procedures on the London Stock Exchange," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 14, July-Dece.
    3. Milena Suliga, 2017. "Price reversal as potential expiration day effect of stock and index futures: evidence from Warsaw Stock Exchange," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 18(2), pages 201-225.
    4. Barclay, Michael J. & Hendershott, Terrence, 2008. "A comparison of trading and non-trading mechanisms for price discovery," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 839-849, December.
    5. Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla & Ajay Pandey, 2013. "Expiration‐Day Effects and the Impact of Short Trading Breaks on Intraday Volatility: Evidence from the Indian Market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(11), pages 1046-1070, November.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2023. "Witching days and abnormal profits in the us stock market," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 2182016-218, December.
    7. Chin-Lin Chuang & Dar-Hsin Chen & Chung-Hsien Su, 2008. "Reexamining The Expiration Day Effects Of Stock Index Derivatives: Evidence From Taiwan," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 2(2), pages 85-105.
    8. Nguyen, Vanthuan & Phengpis, Chanwit, 2009. "An analysis of the opening mechanisms of Exchange Traded Fund markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 562-577, May.
    9. Laurence Lescourret, 2012. "Non-fundamental Information and Market-makers' Behavior during the NASDAQ Preopening Session," Working Papers hal-00772798, HAL.
    10. Jinliang Li, 2016. "When noise trading fades, volatility rises," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 475-512, October.
    11. repec:hal:journl:hal-00772798 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Laurence Lescourret, 2017. "Cold Case File? Inventory Risk and Information Sharing during the pre†1997 NASDAQ," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 761-806, September.
    13. Jos, van Bommel, 2011. "Measuring price discovery: The variance ratio, the R2, and the weighted price contribution," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 112-119, September.
    14. Park, Seongkyu “Gilbert” & Suen, Wing & Wan, Kam-Ming, 2022. "Call auction design and closing price manipulation: Evidence from the Hong Kong stock exchange," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    15. Rachna Mahalwala, 2016. "A Study of Expiration-day Effects of Index Derivatives Trading in India," Metamorphosis: A Journal of Management Research, , vol. 15(1), pages 10-19, June.
    16. Piccotti, Louis R., 2016. "Pricing errors and the geography of trade in the foreign exchange market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 46-69.
    17. Gurmeet Singh & Muneer Shaik, 2020. "Re-examining the Expiration Effects of Index Futures: Evidence from India," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 16-23.
    18. Anagnostidis, Panagiotis & Kanas, Angelos & Papachristou, George, 2015. "Information revelation in the Greek exchange opening call: Daily and intraday evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 167-184.
    19. Bellia, Mario & Pelizzon, Loriana & Subrahmanyam, Marti G. & Uno, Jun & Yuferova, Darya, 2017. "Low-latency trading and price discovery: Evidence from the Tokyo Stock Exchange in the pre-opening and opening periods," SAFE Working Paper Series 144, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2017.
    20. Anagnostidis, Panagiotis & Fontaine, Patrice & Varsakelis, Christos, 2020. "Are high–frequency traders informed?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 365-383.
    21. Anand, Amber & Gatchev, Vladimir A. & Madureira, Leonardo & Pirinsky, Christo A. & Underwood, Shane, 2011. "Geographic proximity and price discovery: Evidence from NASDAQ," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 193-226, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:39:y:2019:i:2:p:164-185. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.