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Asymmetric Effects of Volatility Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from VIX and VIX Futures

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  • Xi Fu
  • Matteo Sandri
  • Mark B. Shackleton

Abstract

First, to separate different market conditions, this study focuses on how VIX spot (VIX), VIX futures (VXF), and their basis (VIX − VXF) perform different roles in asset pricing. Secondly, this study decomposes the VIX index into two parts: volatility calculated from out‐of‐the‐money call options and volatility calculated from out‐of‐the‐money put options. The analysis shows that out‐of‐the‐money put options capture more useful information in predicting future stock returns. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 36:1029–1056, 2016

Suggested Citation

  • Xi Fu & Matteo Sandri & Mark B. Shackleton, 2016. "Asymmetric Effects of Volatility Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from VIX and VIX Futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(11), pages 1029-1056, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:36:y:2016:i:11:p:1029-1056
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    Cited by:

    1. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Morelli, David & Tunaru, Radu, 2019. "The determinants of the model-free positive and negative volatilities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-24.
    2. Bu, Ruijun & Fu, Xi & Jawadi, Fredj, 2019. "Does the volatility of volatility risk forecast future stock returns?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 16-36.
    3. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2023. "Discovering the drivers of stock market volatility in a data-rich world," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Hikmet Akyol & Selim Basar, 2024. "Empirical Analysis of Turkish Banking Sector Institutional and Macroeconomic Determinants of Risks," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(74-1), pages 59-98, June.
    5. Zhu, Fangfei & Zhu, Yabei & Jin, Xuejun & Luo, Xingguo, 2018. "Do spillover effects between crude oil and natural gas markets disappear? Evidence from option markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 25-33.
    6. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Forecasting the KOSPI200 spot volatility using various volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 156-166.

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