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Do small traders contribute to price discovery? Evidence from the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index markets

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  • Libin Tao
  • Frank M. Song

Abstract

Using one‐contract‐size trades in the Mini Hang Seng Index futures to proxy the activities of small traders, this study empirically investigates the information contribution of small futures traders to price discovery on the Hang Seng Index (HSI) markets. Estimated with the models of Gonzalo, J., and Granger, C. W. J. ( 1995 ) and Hasbrouck, J. ( 1995 ), the results show that small traders contribute about 16.8% to price discovery, a disproportionately high share considering their relatively low trading volume. The results also indicate that the Hang Seng Index futures (HSIF) market still has the largest information share (about 71.0%), whereas the HSI spot market has a 12.2% share. Our results suggest that small traders are not uninformed in the HSIF markets, and play an important role in price discovery. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:156–174, 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Libin Tao & Frank M. Song, 2010. "Do small traders contribute to price discovery? Evidence from the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 156-174, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:30:y:2010:i:2:p:156-174
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    Cited by:

    1. Edward Curran & Jack Hunt & Vito Mollica, 2021. "Single stock futures and their impact on market quality: Be careful what you wish for," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1677-1692, November.
    2. Xu, Xiaojie, 2014. "Price Discovery in U.S. Corn Cash and Futures Markets: The Role of Cash Market Selection," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169809, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Lepone, Andrew & Yang, Jin Young, 2013. "Informational role of market makers: The case of exchange traded CFDs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 84-92.
    4. Pati, Pratap Chandra, 2022. "Informativeness of CME Micro Bitcoin Futures in Pricing of Bitcoin: Intraday Evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    5. Huo, Rui & Ahmed, Abdullahi D., 2018. "Relationships between Chinese stock market and its index futures market: Evaluating the impact of QFII scheme," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 135-152.
    6. Jatin Malhotra & Angelo Corelli, 2021. "The Relative Informativeness of Regular and E-Mini Euro/Dollar Futures Contracts and the Role of Trader Types," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-14, June.
    7. Xiaojie Xu, 2018. "Cointegration and price discovery in US corn cash and futures markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1889-1923, December.
    8. Edward Curran & Jack Hunt & Vito Mollica, 2020. "Trading protocols and price discovery: Implicit transaction costs in Indian single stock futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(11), pages 1793-1806, November.

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