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An empirical analysis of commodity pricing

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  • Richard Heaney

Abstract

Commodity pricing models generally explain the link between commodity prices and stock levels in terms of a stock‐out constraint or a convenience yield. Analysis of this link is provided using monthly London Metals Exchange copper, lead, and zinc prices obtained for the period November 1964 to December 2003. A Markov model, fitted to these data, supports the existence of two distinct pricing regimes while the impact of convenience yields is also identified. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 26:391–415, 2006

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  • Richard Heaney, 2006. "An empirical analysis of commodity pricing," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 391-415, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:26:y:2006:i:4:p:391-415
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    Cited by:

    1. Atle Oglend & Vesa-Heikki Soini, 2020. "Equilibrium Working Curves with Heterogeneous Agents," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 355-372, August.
    2. Evans, Lewis & Guthrie, Graeme, 2007. "Commodity Price Behavior With Storage Frictions," Working Paper Series 19065, Victoria University of Wellington, The New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation.
    3. Cummins, Mark & Dowling, Michael & Lucey, Brian M., 2015. "Behavioral influences in non-ferrous metals prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 9-22.
    4. Fouquau, Julien & Six, Pierre, 2015. "A comparison of the convenience yield and interest-adjusted basis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 142-149.
    5. Schlosser, William E., 2020. "Real price appreciation forecast tool: Two delivered log market price cycles in the Puget Sound markets of western Washington, USA, from 1992 through 2019," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    6. Evans, Lewis & Guthrie, Graeme, 2007. "Commodity Price Behavior With Storage Frictions," Working Paper Series 3966, Victoria University of Wellington, The New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation.
    7. Tore S. Kleppe & Atle Oglend, 2019. "Can limits‐to‐arbitrage from bounded storage improve commodity term‐structure modeling?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 865-889, July.
    8. repec:vuw:vuwscr:19065 is not listed on IDEAS

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