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Forecasting of cryptocurrencies: Mapping trends, influential sources, and research themes

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  • Tomas Pečiulis
  • Nisar Ahmad
  • Angeliki N. Menegaki
  • Aqsa Bibi

Abstract

This systematic literature review examines cryptocurrency forecasting trends, influential sources, and research themes. Following PRISMA guidelines, 168 articles from Q1 or A‐tier journals in the Scopus database were analyzed using bibliometric techniques. The findings reveal a significant increase in cryptocurrency forecasting research output since 2017, particularly in 2021. “Finance Research Letters” emerges as the most productive journal, whereas “Economics Letters” receives the highest number of citations. Elie Bouri is identified as the most prolific author, and China is the top contributor country. Key research themes include bitcoin, cryptocurrency, volatility, forecasting, machine learning, investments, and blockchain. Future research directions involve utilizing internet search‐based measures, time‐varying mixture models, economic policy uncertainty, expert predictions, machine learning algorithms, and analyzing cryptocurrency risk. This review contributes unique insights into the field's growth, influential sources, and collaborative structures and offers a foundation for advancing methodology and enhancing cryptocurrency forecasting models.

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  • Tomas Pečiulis & Nisar Ahmad & Angeliki N. Menegaki & Aqsa Bibi, 2024. "Forecasting of cryptocurrencies: Mapping trends, influential sources, and research themes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1880-1901, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:43:y:2024:i:6:p:1880-1901
    DOI: 10.1002/for.3114
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