IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/ijfiec/v29y2024i3p3344-3371.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock market liberalisation and acquisition outcomes: Evidence from a natural experiment

Author

Listed:
  • Yanyan Lin
  • Xipei Hou

Abstract

Taking the Shanghai/Shenzhen‐Hong Kong stock connect policy as a natural experiment, we use a difference‐in‐differences approach to investigate how stock market liberalisation affects M&A outcomes. Employing a sample of Chinese listed firms from 2011 to 2020, we find that the stock market liberalisation leads to more positive M&A announcement returns. The positive effect on M&A announcement returns is the result of increased investor sentiment after market liberalisation. It is the investor sentiment mechanism through which stock market liberalisation has effects on M&A short‐term returns. Further analysis indicates that stock market liberalisation does not impose positive effects on long‐term M&A outcomes. We do not find evidence that M&As initiated by connected firms to be more value‐added.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanyan Lin & Xipei Hou, 2024. "Stock market liberalisation and acquisition outcomes: Evidence from a natural experiment," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3344-3371, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:29:y:2024:i:3:p:3344-3371
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2839
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2839
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/ijfe.2839?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey, 2000. "Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 565-613, April.
    2. Cláudia Custódio, 2014. "Mergers and Acquisitions Accounting and the Diversification Discount," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(1), pages 219-240, February.
    3. Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2000. "Capital Market Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Instability," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1075-1086, June.
    4. Danbolt, Jo & Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos, 2015. "Investor sentiment and bidder announcement abnormal returns," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 164-179.
    5. Aouadi, Amal & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2013. "Investor attention and stock market activity: Evidence from France," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 674-681.
    6. Brian J. Aitken & Ann E. Harrison, 2022. "Do Domestic Firms Benefit from Direct Foreign Investment? Evidence from Venezuela," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Globalization, Firms, and Workers, chapter 6, pages 139-152, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Mitton, Todd, 2006. "Stock market liberalization and operating performance at the firm level," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(3), pages 625-647, September.
    8. Paul Draper & Krishna Paudyal, 2008. "Information Asymmetry and Bidders' Gains," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3‐4), pages 376-405, April.
    9. Paul Draper & Krishna Paudyal, 2008. "Information Asymmetry and Bidders' Gains," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3‐4), pages 376-405, April.
    10. Bonfiglioli, Alessandra, 2008. "Financial integration, productivity and capital accumulation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 337-355, December.
    11. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian, 2005. "Does financial liberalization spur growth?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 3-55, July.
    12. Tunyi, Abongeh A. & Ntim, Collins G. & Danbolt, Jo, 2019. "Decoupling management inefficiency: Myopia, hyperopia and takeover likelihood," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-20.
    13. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian, 2006. "Growth volatility and financial liberalization," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 370-403, April.
    14. Bae, Kee-Hong & Ozoguz, Arzu & Tan, Hongping & Wirjanto, Tony S., 2012. "Do foreigners facilitate information transmission in emerging markets?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 209-227.
    15. Renneboog, Luc & Vansteenkiste, Cara, 2019. "Failure and success in mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 650-699.
    16. Zhi Da & Joseph Engelberg & Pengjie Gao, 2011. "In Search of Attention," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(5), pages 1461-1499, October.
    17. Guanming He & Xiaorong Li & Jingbo Luo, 2023. "The impact of the Shanghai–Hong Kong stock market connection on corporate innovation: Evidence from mainland China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3132-3161, July.
    18. Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1998. "Capital Control Liberalization and Stock Market Development," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1169-1183, July.
    19. Aggarwal, Reena & Erel, Isil & Ferreira, Miguel & Matos, Pedro, 2011. "Does governance travel around the world? Evidence from institutional investors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 154-181, April.
    20. Gul, Ferdinand A. & Kim, Jeong-Bon & Qiu, Annie A., 2010. "Ownership concentration, foreign shareholding, audit quality, and stock price synchronicity: Evidence from China," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(3), pages 425-442, March.
    21. da Silva Rosa, Raymond & Durand, Robert B., 2008. "The role of salience in portfolio formation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(1-2), pages 78-94, January.
    22. Uysal, Vahap B. & Kedia, Simi & Panchapagesan, Venkatesh, 2008. "Geography and acquirer returns," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 256-275, April.
    23. Liu, Clark & Wang, Shujing & Wei, K.C. John, 2021. "Demand shock, speculative beta, and asset prices: Evidence from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    24. Dennis P. Quinn & A. Maria Toyoda, 2008. "Does Capital Account Liberalization Lead to Growth?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(3), pages 1403-1449, May.
    25. Peter Blair Henry, 2003. "Capital-Account Liberalization, the Cost of Capital, and Economic Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 91-96, May.
    26. Friedrich, Christian & Schnabel, Isabel & Zettelmeyer, Jeromin, 2013. "Financial integration and growth — Why is Emerging Europe different?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 522-538.
    27. Ronald W. Masulis & Cong Wang & Fei Xie, 2007. "Corporate Governance and Acquirer Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1851-1889, August.
    28. Jeffry M. Netter & William L. Megginson, 2001. "From State to Market: A Survey of Empirical Studies on Privatization," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(2), pages 321-389, June.
    29. Wang, Shuxun, 2021. "How does stock market liberalization influence corporate innovation? Evidence from Stock Connect scheme in China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    30. Hongqi Liu & Karolina Krystyniak, 2021. "Investor Attention and Merger Announcements," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 97-112, January.
    31. Xiong, Lingyun & Deng, Hui & Xiao, Lijuan, 2021. "Does stock market liberalization mitigate litigation risk? Evidence from Stock Connect in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    32. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Boughrara, Adel, 2013. "Financial liberalization and stock markets efficiency: New evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 186-208.
    33. René M. Stulz, 1999. "Golbalization, Corporate Finance, And The Cost Of Capital," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 12(3), pages 8-25, September.
    34. Rodolfo Martell & René M. Stulz, 2003. "Equity-Market Liberalizations as Country IPO's," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 97-101, May.
    35. Ke Xu & Xinwei Zheng & Deng Pan & Li Xing & Xuekui Zhang, 2020. "Stock Market Openness And Market Quality: Evidence From The Shanghai–Hong Kong Stock Connect Program," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 43(2), pages 373-406, May.
    36. Bae, Kee-Hong & Goyal, Vidhan K., 2010. "Equity market liberalization and corporate governance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 609-621, December.
    37. Erten, Bilge & Leight, Jessica & Tregenna, Fiona, 2019. "Trade liberalization and local labor market adjustment in South Africa," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 448-467.
    38. Mauricio Larrain & Sebastian Stumpner, 2017. "Capital Account Liberalization and Aggregate Productivity: The Role of Firm Capital Allocation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(4), pages 1825-1858, August.
    39. Ross Levine, 2001. "International Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(4), pages 688-702, November.
    40. Gong, Min & Wang, Yanan & Yang, Xiandong, 2021. "Do independent directors restrain controlling shareholders’ tunneling? Evidence from a natural experiment in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 548-559.
    41. Luo, Wei & Zhang, Yi & Zhu, Ning, 2011. "Bank ownership and executive perquisites: New evidence from an emerging market," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 352-370, April.
    42. Anusha Chari & Peter Blair Henry & Diego Sasson, 2012. "Capital Market Integration and Wages," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 102-132, April.
    43. Jaleel, Fazeel M. & Samarakoon, Lalith P., 2009. "Stock market liberalization and return volatility: Evidence from the emerging market of Sri Lanka," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 409-423, December.
    44. Chi, Jing & Sun, Qian & Young, Martin, 2011. "Performance and characteristics of acquiring firms in the Chinese stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 152-170, June.
    45. Evans Opoku‐Mensah & Yuming Yin & Sandra Chukwudumebi Obiora & Peter Adjei Darko, 2022. "Grabbing hand or helping hand? Ownership interventions and acquirers returns; the role of provincial idiosyncrasies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4797-4815, October.
    46. Yingwen Deng & Ole‐Kristian Hope & Cyndia Wang & Min Zhang, 2022. "Capital market liberalization and auditors' accounting adjustments: Evidence from a quasi‐experiment," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1-2), pages 215-248, January.
    47. Kee‐Hong Bae & Jun‐Koo Kang & Jin‐Mo Kim, 2002. "Tunneling or Value Added? Evidence from Mergers by Korean Business Groups," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(6), pages 2695-2740, December.
    48. Cong Wang & Fei Xie, 2009. "Corporate Governance Transfer and Synergistic Gains from Mergers and Acquisitions," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(2), pages 829-858, February.
    49. Liliana Varela, 2018. "Reallocation, Competition, and Productivity: Evidence from a Financial Liberalization Episode," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 1279-1313.
    50. Sheeba Kapil & Puneet Kaur Dhingra, 2021. "Flagging Determinants for Indian Outbound M&A," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 1-10.
    51. Yang, Junhong & Guariglia, Alessandra & Guo, Jie (Michael), 2019. "To what extent does corporate liquidity affect M&A decisions, method of payment and performance? Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 128-152.
    52. Jeffry Netter & Mike Stegemoller & M. Babajide Wintoki, 2011. "Implications of Data Screens on Merger and Acquisition Analysis: A Large Sample Study of Mergers and Acquisitions from 1992 to 2009," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(7), pages 2316-2357.
    53. Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar S. & Terrones, Marco E., 2009. "Does financial globalization promote risk sharing?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 258-270, July.
    54. Nandini Gupta & Kathy Yuan, 2009. "On the Growth Effect of Stock Market Liberalizations," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(11), pages 4715-4752, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Moshirian, Fariborz & Tian, Xuan & Zhang, Bohui & Zhang, Wenrui, 2021. "Stock market liberalization and innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 985-1014.
    2. Li, Zhisheng & Liu, Chun & Ni, Xiaoran & Pang, Jiaren, 2024. "Stock market liberalization and corporate investment revisited: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Peter Blair Henry, 2007. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 887-935, December.
    4. Yan Meng & Lingyun Xiong & Lijuan Xiao & Min Bai, 2023. "The effect of overseas investors on local market efficiency: evidence from the Shanghai/Shenzhen–Hong Kong Stock Connect," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-32, December.
    5. Zhang, Liguang & Li, Zhuohao & Liao, Yunxiang & Wang, Yunchen & Hu, Ning, 2023. "Foreign investment and information quality – A quasi-experiment from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Peter Henry, 2007. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation," Discussion Papers 07-004, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Liu, Xiaojun & Wang, Li & Dai, Yunhao, 2023. "Capital market liberalization and opportunistic insider sales: Evidence from China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    8. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian, 2011. "Financial Openness and Productivity," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 1-19, January.
    9. Li, Xiang & Su, Dan, 2022. "Total factor productivity growth at the firm-level: The effects of capital account liberalization," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    10. David Hillier & Tiago Loncan, 2019. "Stock market integration, cost of equity capital, and corporate investment: Evidence from Brazil," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 25(1), pages 181-206, January.
    11. Jianqiao Huang & Yunsen Chen & Xin Dai & Xiaoran Ni, 2022. "Stock market liberalisation and corporate cash holdings: evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(S1), pages 1925-1955, April.
    12. Lin Liao & Yukun Pan & Daifei (Troy) Yao, 2023. "Capital market liberalisation and voluntary corporate social responsibility disclosure: Evidence from a quasi‐natural experiment in China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(2), pages 2677-2715, June.
    13. Zhao, Yuyang & Xiang, Cheng & Cai, Wenwu, 2021. "Stock market liberalization and institutional herding: Evidence from the Shanghai-Hong Kong and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connects," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Xiong, Lingyun & Deng, Hui & Xiao, Lijuan, 2021. "Does stock market liberalization mitigate litigation risk? Evidence from Stock Connect in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    15. Yuan, Li & Rao, Siqi & Yang, Shenggang & Dai, Pengyi, 2023. "Does equity market openness increase productivity? the dual effects of Shanghai-Hong Kong stock Connect program in China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    16. Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar & Rogoff, Kenneth & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2010. "Financial Globalization and Economic Policies," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Dani Rodrik & Mark Rosenzweig (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 4283-4359, Elsevier.
    17. Cunfei Liao & Guohao Tang & Xiaoying Xu, 2024. "Smart money or chasing stars: Evidence from northbound trading in China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1781-1803, April.
    18. Wang, Ye & Liu, Xufeng & Wan, Die, 2023. "Stock market openness and ESG performance: Evidence from Shanghai-Hong Kong connect program," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1306-1319.
    19. Park, Haehean & Lee, Po-sang & Park, Yun W., 2020. "Information asymmetry and the effect of financial openness on firm growth and wage in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 901-916.
    20. Li, Donghui & Nguyen, Quang N. & Pham, Peter K. & Wei, Steven X., 2011. "Large Foreign Ownership and Firm-Level Stock Return Volatility in Emerging Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(4), pages 1127-1155, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:29:y:2024:i:3:p:3344-3371. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/1076-9307/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.