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Financial Dollarization In Emerging Markets: An Insurance Arrangement

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  • Husnu C. Dalgic

Abstract

Households in emerging markets hold significant amounts of dollar deposits whereas firms have significant amount of dollar debt. Motivated by perceived dangers, policymakers consider regulations to limit dollarization. I draw attention to an important benefit of dollarization: it serves as an insurance arrangement in which firms provide income insurance. Emerging market exchange rates tend to depreciate in recessions so that households prefer holding deposits denominated in dollars. They effectively starve local financial markets of local currency; raising local interest rates over USD rates and causing entrepreneurs to borrow in dollars. This premium is the price paid by households for insurance.

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  • Husnu C. Dalgic, 2024. "Financial Dollarization In Emerging Markets: An Insurance Arrangement," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1189-1219, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:65:y:2024:i:3:p:1189-1219
    DOI: 10.1111/iere.12686
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    2. Yemba, Boniface P., 2022. "User cost of foreign monetary assets under dollarization," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    3. Longaric, Pablo Anaya, 2022. "Foreign currency exposure and the financial channel of exchange rates," Working Paper Series 2739, European Central Bank.
    4. Kostiantyn Khvedchuk & Valentyna Sinichenko & Barry Topf, 2019. "Estimating a Natural Level of Financial Dollarization in Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 247, pages 38-44.
    5. Valida Pantsulaia & Ana Jangveladze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2023. "Negative Externalities of Financial Dollarization," NBG Working Papers 01/2023, National Bank of Georgia.
    6. Lorena Keller, 2018. "Prudential Capital Controls and Risk Misallocation: Bank Lending Channel," 2018 Meeting Papers 129, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Oskolkov, Aleksei & Sorá, Marcos, 2023. "Macroprudential policy for internal financial dollarization," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    8. Castillo, Paul & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2021. "Foreign Exchange Intervention, Capital Flows, and Liability Dollarization," Working Papers 2021-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    9. Lama, Ruy & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2020. "Mundell meets Poole: Managing capital flows with multiple instruments in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. José Bustamante & Walter Cuba & Rafael Nivin, 2019. "Determinants of credit growth and the bank-lending channel in Peru: A loan level analysis," BIS Working Papers 803, Bank for International Settlements.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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