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The voluntary inclusion of earnings forecasts in IPO prospectuses

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  • PETER M. CLARKSON
  • ALEX DONTOH
  • GORDON RICHARDSON
  • STEPHAN E. SEFCIK

Abstract

. This study examines empirically the role played by direct disclosure in the valuation of initial public offerings (IPOs). We investigate why some firms making an initial public offering in Canada include an earnings forecast in the offering prospectus and others do not, and, in particular, the role of such direct disclosures in IPO valuation. We explore several hypotheses motivated by the voluntary disclosure and signaling literatures. Our results are consistent with the hypotheses that (1) forecasters have “good news†to reveal about future earnings prospects relative to nonforecasters, (2) the earnings forecast signals are valuation relevant, and (3) the market is able to correct for expected forecast error or bias in the earnings forecast. Résumé. Les auteurs font une analyse empirique du rôle que joue la présentation directe d'information dans l'évaluation des premiers appels publics à lépargne. Ils se penchent sur les raisons pour lesquelles certaines sociétés qui font appel public à l'épargne au Canada intègrent à leur prospectus d'émission des prévisions de bénéfices, alors que d'autres ne le font pas, et ils s'intéressent en particulier au rôle de la présentation directe de ce genre d'information dans l'évaluation d'un premier appel public à l'épargne. Ils examinent plusieurs hypothèses inspirées d'ouvrages traitant de présentation volontaire d'information et d'indicateurs. Les résultats obtenus sont conformes aux hypothèses selon lesquelles 1) ceux qui font état de prévisions ont de l'information positive à communiquer au sujet des perspectives de bénéfices, contrairement à ceux qui ne font état d'aucune prévision, 2) les indicateurs que représentent les prévisions de bénéfices sont pertinents à l'évaluation et 3) le marché a la capacité de corriger l'information qu'il reçoit pour tenir compte des erreurs ou des distorsions anticipées dans les prévisions de bénéfices.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter M. Clarkson & Alex Dontoh & Gordon Richardson & Stephan E. Sefcik, 1992. "The voluntary inclusion of earnings forecasts in IPO prospectuses," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(2), pages 601-616, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:coacre:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:601-616
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1911-3846.1992.tb00863.x
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    1. Harjeet S. Bhabra & Richard H. Pettway, 2003. "IPO Prospectus Information and Subsequent Performance," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 369-397, August.
    2. Denis Cormier & Daniel Coulombe & Luania Gomez Gutierrez & Bruce J. Mcconomy, 2018. "Firms in Transition: A Review of the Venture Capital, IPO, and M&A Literature," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(1), pages 9-88, March.
    3. Bruce J. Mcconomy, 1998. "Bias and Accuracy of Management Earnings Forecasts: An Evaluation of the Impact of Auditing," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(2), pages 167-195, June.
    4. Ravi Lonkani & Michael Firth, 2005. "The accuracy of IPO earnings forecasts in Thailand and their relationships with stock market valuation," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 269-286.
    5. Mohamed Chabchoub & Mansour Mrabet, 2007. "Gestion Du Resultat Et Introduction En Bourse : Cas Des Entreprises Tunisiennes," Post-Print halshs-00544954, HAL.
    6. Paula Hill, 2007. "Declared investment plans and IPO firm value," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 23-39.
    7. Beng Soon Chong & Kim Wai Ho, 2007. "Lockup and Voluntary Earnings Forecast Disclosure in IPOs," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 36(3), pages 63-80, September.
    8. Neil Hartnett, 2010. "The value relevance of earnings forecast disclosures: an investigation of forecast attributes and signalling in the Australian IPO context," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(23), pages 1819-1828.
    9. Niamh Brennan, 2000. "An empirical examination of forecast disclosure by bidding companies," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 175-194.
    10. Michael T. Stein, 1998. "Discussion of “Bias and Accuracy of Management Earnings Forecasts: An Evaluation of the Impact of Auditing," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(2), pages 197-201, June.
    11. Stephen P. Baginski & Saverio Bozzolan & Antonio Marra & Pietro Mazzola, 2017. "Strategy, Valuation, and Forecast Accuracy: Evidence from Italian Strategic Plan Disclosures," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 341-378, April.
    12. Dimitrios Gounopoulos, 2011. "Associations Between Management Forecast Accuracy and Pricing of IPOs in Athens Stock Exchange," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 15(3-4), pages 235-272, September.
    13. Chiara Mio & Pier Luigi Marchini & Alice Medioli, 2020. "Forward‐looking information in integrated reports: Insights from “best in class”," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(5), pages 2212-2224, September.
    14. My Hanh Doan & Remmer Sassen, 2020. "The relationship between environmental performance and environmental disclosure: A meta‐analysis," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(5), pages 1140-1157, October.
    15. Jean Bédard & Daniel Coulombe & Lucie Courteau, 2016. "The Credibility of Earnings Forecasts in IPO Prospectuses and Underpricing," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(4), pages 235-267, December.
    16. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    17. Ranko Jelic & Brahim Saadouni & Richard Briston, 1998. "The accuracy of earnings forecasts in IPO prospectuses on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 57-72.
    18. Manel Allaya & Narjess Toumi, 2020. "The effect of lockup on management earnings forecasts disclosure in French IPOs," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 24(2), pages 507-529, June.
    19. Wolfgang Drobetz & Dimitrios Gounopoulos & Anna Merika & Andreas Merikas, 2017. "Determinants of Management Earnings Forecasts: The Case of Global Shipping IPOs," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(5), pages 975-1015, October.
    20. Paula Hill & David Hillier, 2009. "Market Feedback, Investment Constraints, and Managerial Behavior," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 15(3), pages 584-605, June.
    21. Minwoo Lee & Hyun S. Hwang, 2012. "The Interaction Effects of Firm Value, Managerial Ownership Retention, Earnings Forecasts and Earnings Management," Business and Management Research, Business and Management Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 1(2), pages 94-112, June.
    22. Vijay Jog & Bruce J. McConomy, 2003. "Voluntary Disclosure of Management Earnings Forecasts in IPO Prospectuses," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1‐2), pages 125-168, January.

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