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Dynamics of Policymaking: Stepping Back to Leap Forward, Stepping Forward to Keep Back

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  • Peter Buisseret
  • Dan Bernhardt

Abstract

We study dynamic policymaking when today's policy agreement becomes tomorrow's status quo, agents account for the consequences of today's policies for future policy outcomes, and there is uncertainty about who will hold future political power to propose and veto future policy changes. Today's agenda setter holds back from fully exploiting present opportunities to move policy toward her ideal point whenever future proposer and veto players are likely to be aligned either in favor of reform or against it. Otherwise, agenda setters advance their short‐run interests. Optimal proposals can vary discontinuously and nonmonotonically with political fundamentals.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Buisseret & Dan Bernhardt, 2017. "Dynamics of Policymaking: Stepping Back to Leap Forward, Stepping Forward to Keep Back," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 61(4), pages 820-835, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:amposc:v:61:y:2017:i:4:p:820-835
    DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12301
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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Barton E., 2022. "Gridlock, leverage, and policy bundling," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    2. Hülya Eraslan & Kirill S. Evdokimov & Jan Zápal, 2022. "Dynamic Legislative Bargaining," Springer Books, in: Emin Karagözoğlu & Kyle B. Hyndman (ed.), Bargaining, chapter 0, pages 151-175, Springer.
    3. Hwang, Ilwoo, 2023. "Policy experimentation with repeated elections," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 623-644.
    4. Austen-Smith, David & Dziuda, Wioletta & Harstad, Bård & Loeper, Antoine, 2019. "Gridlock and inefficient policy instruments," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(4), November.
    5. Gersbach, Hans & Jackson, Matthew O. & Muller, Philippe & Tejada, Oriol, 2023. "Electoral competition with costly policy changes: A dynamic perspective," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    6. Gleason Judd & Lawrence S. Rothenberg, 2020. "Flexibility or Stability? Analyzing Proposals to Reform the Separation of Powers," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(2), pages 309-324, April.
    7. Per F Andersson & Johannes Lindvall, 2018. "Crises, investments, and political institutions," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 30(4), pages 410-430, October.
    8. Aurélie Cassette & Etienne Farvaque, 2019. "Sticky decentralization? Evidence from the French school reform," Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS 2019-03-ccr, Condorcet Center for political Economy.
    9. Zapal, Jan, 2020. "Simple Markovian equilibria in dynamic spatial legislative bargaining," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    10. Morelli, Massimo & Osnabrügge, Moritz & Vannoni, Matia, 2020. "Legislative Activity and Private Benefits: A Natural Experiment in New Zealand," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 565-570, July.
    11. Gersbach, Hans & Muller, Philippe & Tejada, Oriol, 2019. "Costs of change and political polarization," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    12. Blumenthal, Benjamin, 2022. "Policymaking under Influence," SocArXiv 7uw3j, Center for Open Science.
    13. Vincent Anesi & Peter Buisseret, 2023. "Collective screening," Discussion Papers 2023-01, Nottingham Interdisciplinary Centre for Economic and Political Research (NICEP).

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