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Grain contracting strategies: the case of durum wheat

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  • William W. Wilson
  • Bruce L. Dahl

Abstract

One of the impacts of higher prices along with greater volatility in futures, basis and spreads is that there is pressure for greater use of cash contracts for grain. There is a wide array of cash contracts with varying terms that pose major strategic alternatives for buyers and the marketing system, particularly as buyers seek to use contracting as an element of risk mitigation. Durum is a crop where many of these issues and challenges are apparent. Durum is more risky than competing crops with greater price, yield and quality risk. And in contrast to competing crops, futures do not exist, cross hedging is poor and forward contracting has been used minimally. There are three purposes of this article: Provide a survey of contract terms used in grain contracting with growers, illustrate some issues in contracting of some of the specialty grains (durum) in the upper Midwest, and develop a model to analyze alternative contracting strategies in the case of durum. We introduce alternative pricing features, and explore other alternatives and analyze them in terms of risk and return to growers.
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Suggested Citation

  • William W. Wilson & Bruce L. Dahl, 2011. "Grain contracting strategies: the case of durum wheat," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 344-359, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:27:y:2011:i:3:p:344-359
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    Cited by:

    1. Anton Bekkerman, 2021. "Quality forecasts: Predicting when and how much markets value higher‐protein wheat," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(4), pages 465-490, December.
    2. Bekkerman, Anton, 2017. "Quality Forecasts: Predicting When and How Much Markets Value Higher Protein Wheat," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259119, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Krishna, Vijesh V. & Erenstein, Olaf & Sadashivappa, Prakash & Vivek, B. S., 2014. "Potential Economic Impact of Biofortified Maize in the Indian Poultry Sector," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 17(4), pages 1-30, November.
    4. Dahl, Bruce & Wilson, William W., 2018. "Risk premiums due to Fusarium Head Blight (FHB) in wheat and barley," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 145-153.
    5. Wilson, William W. & McKee, Greg & Nganje, William & Dahl, Bruce & Bangsund, Dean, 2017. "Economic Impact of USWBSI’s Scab Initiative to Reduce FHB," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 264672, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    6. William W. Wilson & Bruce Dahl, 2014. "Contracting for Canola in the Great Plains States," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 62(1), pages 89-106, March.
    7. Jason Loughrey & Fiona Thorne & Thia Hennessy, 2016. "A Microsimulation Model for Risk in Irish Tillage Farming," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 9(2), pages 41-76.

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