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Steuerentlastung stärkt, Gegenfinanzierung dämpft die Konjunktur. Prognose für 2015 und 2016

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  • Stefan Schiman

Abstract

Mit einem Wirtschaftswachstum von 0,5% bleibt die Dynamik in Österreich 2015 das vierte Jahr in Folge äußerst schwach. Eine leichte Beschleunigung auf +1,3% ergibt sich 2016 mit dem Anziehen des Binnenhandels in der EU. Die markante Abwertung des Euro wird die Exportentwicklung zusätzlich stützen. Die Steuerreform 2015/16 begünstigt ab 2016 die private Nachfrage, dämpft aber gleichzeitig den öffentlichen Konsum. Für eine Stabilisierung der Arbeitslosenquote ist das Wachstum bis 2016 zu gering.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Schiman, 2015. "Steuerentlastung stärkt, Gegenfinanzierung dämpft die Konjunktur. Prognose für 2015 und 2016," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(7), pages 539-550, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2015:i:7:p:539-550
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    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Schiman, 2015. "Confidence in the USA, Uncertainty in the Euro Area, Fragility in the Emerging Markets. Medium-term Forecast for the World Economy until 2020," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 20(19), pages 214-221, November.
    2. N. N., 2015. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 9/2015," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(9), September.

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    Keywords

    Konjunkturprognose Österreich;

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