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Langfristige Bevölkerungs- und Erwerbsquotenprognosen für Österreich im Vergleich

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  • Christine Mayrhuber

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Berechnungen der Erwerbsquote für die kommenden Jahrzehnte basieren auf demographischen Projektionen. Eurostat rechnet bis 2060 mit einem Bevölkerungswachstum in Österreich auf 8,9 Mio. Personen, Statistik Austria geht von einer Zunahme auf 9,4 Mio. Personen aus. Im jüngst erschienenen Ageing Report 2012 prognostiziert die Europäische Kommission für 2050 eine Erwerbsquote von 77,6%, während Statistik Austria eine Zunahme auf nur 76,2% annimmt. Weil sich die den Projektionen zugrundeliegende Bevölkerungszahl unterscheidet, übersteigt die Erwerbstätigenzahl laut Statistik Austria jene laut Eurostat im Jahr 2050 dennoch um rund 162.000.

Suggested Citation

  • Christine Mayrhuber, 2012. "Langfristige Bevölkerungs- und Erwerbsquotenprognosen für Österreich im Vergleich," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 85(10), pages 797-807, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2012:i:10:p:797-807
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pål Ulla, 2006. "Assessing Fiscal Risks through Long-term Budget Projections," OECD Journal on Budgeting, OECD Publishing, vol. 6(1), pages 127-187.
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