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Exportpotentiale zwischen Österreich und den benachbarten MOEL. Simulationsergebnisse aus einem panelökonometrischen Gravitationsmodell

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  • Peter Egger

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Österreichs Exporte in einige MOEL wuchsen in den letzten Jahren zum Teil mit zweistelligen Raten. Der Bedeutungsgewinn der MOEL für Österreichs Außenwirtschaft hängt unmittelbar mit der institutionellen, politischen und ökonomischen Transformation in diesen Ländern zusammen. Wird dieser Prozeß im Rahmen der europäischen Integration in geeigneter Weise unterstützt, so kann sich die durchschnittliche Außenwirtschaftsverflechtung der MOEL jener der heutigen EU-Länder angleichen. Dies wäre mit einer mittelfristigen Fortsetzung des derzeitigen Wachstums der österreichischen Exporte verbunden. Die ökonomische Bedeutung der EU-Orientierung dieser Länder wird im vorliegenden Beitrag mit einem Gravitationsmodell geschätzt.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Egger, 1998. "Exportpotentiale zwischen Österreich und den benachbarten MOEL. Simulationsergebnisse aus einem panelökonometrischen Gravitationsmodell," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 71(11), pages 751-759, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:1998:i:11:p:751-759
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hamilton, C.B. & Winters, L.A., 1992. "Opening Up International Trade in Eastern Europe," Papers 511, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
    2. Helpman, Elhanan, 1987. "Imperfect competition and international trade: Evidence from fourteen industrial countries," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 62-81, March.
    3. Wang, Zhen Kun & Winters, L. Alan, 1991. "The Trading Potential of Eastern Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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