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The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the New Economy: Evidence from Turkey (1997-2006)

Author

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  • Cifter Atilla

    (Marmara University, Istanbul, Turkey)

  • Ozun Alper

    (Market Risk Group, Is Bank, Istanbul, Turkey)

Abstract

This study aimed to test the money base, money supply, credit capacity, industrial production index, interest rates, inflation and real exchange rate data of Turkey during the years 1997 - 2006. These were tested through the monetary transmission mechanism and passive money hypothesis, using the vector error correction model-based causality test. Empirical findings showed that the passive money supply hypothesis of the new Keynesian economy is supported in part by accommodationalist views and differs from those of structuralist and liquidity preference theories. However, the monetary transmission mechanism has established that long-term money supply only affects general price levels, while production is influenced by interest rates in the new period of the Turkish economy. Empirical findings show that in this new period, interest transmission mechanisms are at the forefront.

Suggested Citation

  • Cifter Atilla & Ozun Alper, 2007. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the New Economy: Evidence from Turkey (1997-2006)," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 2(1), pages 15-24, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:seejeb:v:2:y:2007:i:1:p:15-24:n:2
    DOI: 10.2478/v10033-007-0011-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kevin S. Nell, 2000. "The Endogenous/Exogenous Nature of South Africa’s Money Supply Under Direct and Indirect Monetary Control Measures," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 313-329, December.
    2. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    3. Thomas I. Palley, 1991. "The Endogenous Money Supply: Consensus and Disagreement," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 397-403, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nayan, Sabri & Ahmad, Mahyudin & Kadir, Norsiah & Abdullah, Mat Saad, 2013. "Post Keynesian Endogeneity of Money Supply: Panel Evidence," MPRA Paper 48716, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. James L Butkiewicz & Zeliha Ozdogan, 2014. "Financial crisis, monetary policy reform and the monetary transmission mechanism in Turkey," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 66-83, January.
    3. Marina Yu. Malkina & Igor A. Moiseev, 2020. "Endogeneity of Money Supply in the Russian Economy in the Context of the Monetary Regime Change," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 3, pages 8-27, June.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Ibrahim Ethem Guney, 2017. "Endogeneity of Money Supply: Evidence from Turkey," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 6(1), pages 01-10, January.
    5. M. Lopreite, 2012. "The endogenous money hypothesis and securitization: the Euro area case (1999-2010)," Economics Department Working Papers 2012-EP02, Department of Economics, Parma University (Italy).
    6. Matteo Deleidi, 2019. "Endogenous money theory: horizontalists, structuralists and the credit market," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 13(1), pages 21-53, June.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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