IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/reoecp/v20y2020i4p409-430n1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Wagner’s law testing in the Visegrád Four countries

Author

Listed:
  • Tesařová Žaneta

    (Department of Monetary Theory and Policy, Faculty of Finance and Accounting, University of Economics, Prague, Czech Republic)

Abstract

This research paper analyses the relationship between gross domestic product and public expenditures in nominal terms. The analysis is being done by using the standard Peacock-Wiseman specification of the Wagner’s law and provides the results for the Visegrád Four countries, i.e. the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland and Hungary. We aim to answer a question concerning the existence of a long and/or short-term relationship between the nominal GDP and nominal public expenditures, which consist of current and capital expenditures. To address this question, we employ the VAR model, the Johansen Cointegration test and the VEC model. We study a period between the first quarter of 1999 and the second quarter of 2019 and find out mixed results for the Visegrád Four countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Tesařová Žaneta, 2020. "The Wagner’s law testing in the Visegrád Four countries," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(4), pages 409-430, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:reoecp:v:20:y:2020:i:4:p:409-430:n:1
    DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2020-0020
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2020-0020
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/revecp-2020-0020?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francois Facchini, 2018. "What Are the Determinants of Public Spending? An Overview of the Literature," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 46(4), pages 419-439, December.
    2. Bilgili, Faik, 1998. "Stationarity and cointegration tests: Comparison of Engle - Granger and Johansen methodologies," MPRA Paper 75967, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Serena Lamartina & Andrea Zaghini, 2011. "Increasing Public Expenditure: Wagner's Law in OECD Countries," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 12(2), pages 149-164, May.
    4. Antonio N. Bojanic, 2013. "Testing the Validity of Wagner's Law in Bolivia: A Cointegration and Causality Analysis with Disaggregated Data," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 28(1), pages 25-45, April.
    5. Jeyhun A. Abbasov & Khatai Aliyev, 2018. "Testing Wagner's Law and Keynesian Hypothesis in Selected Post-Soviet Countries," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 66(5), pages 1227-1237.
    6. Tuck Cheong Tang, 2009. "Wagner’s Law versus Keynesian Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Impressionistic View," Monash Economics Working Papers 21-09, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    7. Adamu Jibir & Chandana Aluthge, 2019. "Modelling the determinants of government expenditure in Nigeria," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1620154-162, January.
    8. Pistoresi, Barbara & Rinaldi, Alberto & Salsano, Francesco, 2017. "Government spending and its components in Italy, 1862–2009: Drivers and policy implications," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1117-1140.
    9. Magazzino, Cosimo, 2010. "Wagner's law and augmented Wagner's law in EU-27. A time-series analysis on stationarity, cointegration and causality," MPRA Paper 26668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. John Gartchie Gatsi & Michael Owusu Appiah & Joseph Addo Gyan, 2019. "A test of Wagner’s hypothesis for the Ghanaian economy," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1647773-164, January.
    11. Jan Kuckuck, 2012. "Testing Wagner's Law at Different Stages of Economic Development - A Historical Analysis of Five Western European Countries," IEER Working Papers 91, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
    12. Ali, Wajid & Munir, Kashif, 2016. "Testing Wagner versus Keynesian Hypothesis for Pakistan: The Role of Aggregate and Disaggregate Expenditure," MPRA Paper 74570, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Cosimo Magazzino, 2010. "Wagner'S Law And Augmented Wagner'S Law In Eu-27. A Time-Series Analysis On Stationarity, Cointegration And Causality," Working Papers 0510, CREI Università degli Studi Roma Tre, revised 2010.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Saten Kumar & Zhaoyi Cao, 2020. "Testing for structural changes in the Wagner’s Law for a sample of East Asian countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1959-1976, October.
    2. Irandoust, Manuchehr, 2019. "Wagner on government spending and national income: A new look at an old relationship," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 636-646.
    3. Philip Arestis & Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya, 2021. "On the linkage between government expenditure and output: empirics of the Keynesian view versus Wagner’s law," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 265-303, May.
    4. Hassan Mohammadi & Rati Ram, 2015. "Economic Development and Government Spending: An Exploration of Wagner’s Hypothesis during Fifty Years of Growth in East Asia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-11, October.
    5. Marco Gallegati & Massimo Tamberi, 2022. "Long swings in the growth of government expenditure: an international historical perspective," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 192(3), pages 227-248, September.
    6. Stephen Moore, 2016. "Wagner in Ireland: An Econometric Analysis," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(1), pages 69-103.
    7. Fedotenkov, Igor & Idrisov, Georgy, 2021. "A supply-demand model of public sector size," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(2).
    8. Fedotenkov, Igor & Idrisov, Georgy, 2019. "A supply-demand model of the size of public sector and Wagner's law," MPRA Paper 94973, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Waqar Muhammad Khan & Tahira Ilyas & Aneela Akhtar Chattha, 2023. "Exploring the Drivers of Government Expenditure Patterns in Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(4), pages 689-699.
    10. Mustapha JOBARTEH, 2020. "Testing Wagner’s Law for sub-Saharan Africa: A panel cointegration and causality approach," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(622), S), pages 125-136, Spring.
    11. Wahyudi Wahyudi, 2020. "The Relationship between Government Spending and Economic Growth Revisited," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 84-88.
    12. António Afonso & José Alves, 2017. "Reconsidering Wagner’s law: evidence from the functions of the government," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 346-350, March.
    13. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Mehmet Ugur & Siew Ling Yew, 2017. "Does Government Size Affect Per-Capita Income Growth? A Hierarchical Meta-Regression Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(300), pages 142-171, March.
    14. Guccio, Calogero & Martorana, Marco & Mazza, Isidoro & Pignataro, Giacomo & Rizzo, Ilde, 2020. "An assessment of the performance of Italian public historical archives: Preservation vs utilisation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1270-1286.
    15. Bilgili, Faik, 1999. "Yeni Klasik kurama göre bütçe politikalarının değerlendirilmesi [An evaluation of New Classical arguments on budget policies]," MPRA Paper 80771, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ali, Amin Masud & Savoia, Antonio, 2023. "Decentralisation or patronage: What determines government's allocation of development spending in a unitary country? Evidence from Bangladesh," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Glenda Maluleke, 2017. "The Determinants of Government Expenditure: Analysis of the Empirical Literature from 1995 To 2016," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 13(2), pages 212-219, April.
    18. François Facchini & Elena Seghezza, 2021. "Legislative production and public spending in France," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 189(1), pages 71-91, October.
    19. Sayed O. M. Timuno & Joel Hinaunye Eita & Lanouar Charfeddine, 2020. "Towards an effective fiscal stimulus: Evidence from Botswana," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1790948-179, January.
    20. Zuzana Machová & Igor Kotlán, 2013. "Interakce zdanění, vládních výdajů a ekonomického růstu: panelový VAR model pro země OECD [Interaction of Taxation, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Panel VAR Model for OECD Countries]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(5), pages 623-638.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration; economic growth; GDP; Keynesian hypothesis; public expenditures; Visegrád; Wagner’s law;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:reoecp:v:20:y:2020:i:4:p:409-430:n:1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.