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Dynamics of Product Complexity in Africa: Structural Estimation Using Structuralists Model

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  • Gebrerufael Samson Gebresilasie

    (MSc in Economic Policy Analysis, PhD Fellow at Maastricht University, UNU-MERIT, the Netherlands; Lecturer of Economics at Aksum University, Ethiopia, Postal address: Aksum University, P.O.BOX 1010, Aksum, Ethiopia)

Abstract

Applying the linear LAS (Latin American Structuralists) technological intensity model in Africa, this paper presents African nations are still diversifying their outputs towards the ubiquitous (fewer complexes) products. Put it simple, using the economic complexity index of Africa (explanatory variable) as a proxy for the technological intensity in Africa and per capita GDP gap (explanatory variable) as a proxy for technology gap, the paper presents a significant and positive relationship between economic complexity index of Africa and the time derivative of the economic complexity index of Africa (the explained variable). This implies that “weak” effort African nations exerted so far in diversifying their outputs towards the less ubiquitous commodities and absence of “automatic catch up tendency” (unlike what is presupposed by the mainstream neo-classical growth models). The linear panel data regression is employed on sample of 23 African economies and OECD member economies for the period 1996-2014.

Suggested Citation

  • Gebrerufael Samson Gebresilasie, 2017. "Dynamics of Product Complexity in Africa: Structural Estimation Using Structuralists Model," Journal of Heterodox Economics, Sciendo, vol. 4(1), pages 11-35, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:vrs:joheec:v:4:y:2017:i:1:p:11-35:n:2
    DOI: 10.1515/jheec-2017-0002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cesar A. Hidalgo & Ricardo Hausmann, 2009. "The Building Blocks of Economic Complexity," Papers 0909.3890, arXiv.org.
    2. Anthony P. Thirlwall, 2011. "The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(259), pages 429-438.
    3. Mario Cimoli & Gabriel Porcile, 2014. "Technology, structural change and BOP-constrained growth: a structuralist toolbox," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 38(1), pages 215-237.
    4. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    5. M. V. Posner, 1961. "International Trade And Technical Change," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 323-341.
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    Cited by:

    1. Godwin Olasehinde‐Williams & Ayodele Folorunso Oshodi, 2021. "Can Africa raise export competitiveness through economic complexity? Evidence from (non)‐parametric panel techniques," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 426-438, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Technology gap; technological intensity; economic complexity index; product diversification; product ubiquity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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