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Absorption Rate as a Tool for Assessing the Dynamics of Development Activity

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  • Antczak-Stępniak Agata

    (University of Łódź, Faculty of Economics and Sociology Department of Investment and Real Estate, Ul. POW 3/5, Łódź 90-255)

Abstract

Research background: An assessment of the dynamics of the development of the housing market is critical for development activity and the institutions that finance it. Due to the capital intensity of development projects, it seems necessary to perform detailed analyses to be sure that the investment will find buyers and to know how much time it will take for this undertaking to be sold. The absorption rate reports it. Purpose: The aim of the article is, therefore, to verify the importance of the absorption rate in assessing the dynamics of property market development based on the example of housing development activity in Łódź. Research methodology: To achieve the aim, in the empirical part of the article, information on developers’ investments in Łódź was independently collected, and based on them, absorption ratios for several periods were estimated. Results: The study showed dynamic changes in the absorption rate, as well as its diversity depending on the type of building and location. That is why it is so important to analyze this indicator in developers’ activity, where the risk of recovering the capital engaged is very high. Novelty: In Poland, there are few publications on the given topic, and the existing analyses of the absorption rate in Poland, prepared for the largest Polish cities, do not include the division into specific locations or the type of real estate, which is why they are not sufficiently reliable information for developers.

Suggested Citation

  • Antczak-Stępniak Agata, 2021. "Absorption Rate as a Tool for Assessing the Dynamics of Development Activity," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(2), pages 1-20, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:foeste:v:21:y:2021:i:2:p:1-20:n:8
    DOI: 10.2478/foli-2021-0013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Antczak-Stępniak Agata, 2018. "A Market Analysis in Development Activity. The Problem of the Availability of Statistical Data in European Countries," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 26(4), pages 35-44, December.
    2. Pat McAllister & Ilir Nase, 2020. "The accuracy of consensus real estate forecasts revisited," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 147-170, April.
    3. Treshani Perera & David Higgins & Woon-Weng Wong, 2018. "The evaluation of the Australian office market forecast accuracy," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(3), pages 259-272, April.
    4. Edward L. Glaeser, 2017. "Real Estate Bubbles and Urban Development," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 34(2), pages 114-151, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    development activity; housing market; absorption rate; housing supply; housing demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D89 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Other
    • L19 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Other
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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