IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/ecothe/v60y2022i2p221-236n4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of Insurance Market Development Based on the S-Curve - The Case of the Western Balkan Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Koprivica Marija

    (University of Belgrade, Faculty of Economics, Republic of Serbia)

Abstract

One of the most commonly used measures of insurance market development is insurance penetration rate, as ratio of gross written premiums to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP). Its important shortcoming is that it neglects the level of economic development of the country. The S-curve is a theoretical model describing the relationship between insurance penetration rate and GDP per capita and allowing a comparison of insurance development between countries at different stages of economic development. The paper analyzes the development level of insurance markets in the Western Balkan countries, in relation to the world average using the S-curve. The world S-curve is derived by estimating a non-linear regression model using data on insurance penetration and GDP per capita for 90 countries from 2006 to 2020. The insurance markets of the Western Balkan countries are below the world S-curve. In order to quantify insurance development gap, we calculated Benchmark Ratio of Insurance Penetration (BRIP) for each country using the world S-curve penetration level as a reference. The results show that the insurance development gap is growing in all countries of the region, except in Albania, where it is the largest. Insurance industry policy for the Western Balkans should focus on improving institutional factors in order to enable sustainable insurance growth in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Koprivica Marija, 2022. "Analysis of Insurance Market Development Based on the S-Curve - The Case of the Western Balkan Countries," Economic Themes, Sciendo, vol. 60(2), pages 221-236, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ecothe:v:60:y:2022:i:2:p:221-236:n:4
    DOI: 10.2478/ethemes-2022-0013
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/ethemes-2022-0013
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/ethemes-2022-0013?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jerzy Handschke & Paweł Rozumek, 2015. "Analysis of Insurance Market Development in Eastern European Countries Based on S-Curve," Contributions to Economics, in: Anastasios Karasavvoglou & Serdar Ongan & Persefoni Polychronidou (ed.), EU Crisis and the Role of the Periphery, edition 127, pages 203-216, Springer.
    2. Wei Zheng & Yongdong Liu & Gerry Dickinson, 2008. "The Chinese Insurance Market: Estimating its Long-Term Growth and Size*," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 33(3), pages 489-506, July.
    3. Chi-Hung Chang & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2012. "Non-Linearity Between Life Insurance and Economic Development: A Revisited Approach," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 37(2), pages 223-257, September.
    4. Peter Haiss & Kjell Sümegi, 2008. "The relationship between insurance and economic growth in Europe: a theoretical and empirical analysis," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 35(4), pages 405-431, September.
    5. Rodolfo Francisco Wehrhahn, 2010. "Insurance Underutilization in Emerging Economies: Causes and Barriers," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Cecelia Kempler & Michel Flamée & Charles Yang & Paul Windels (ed.), Global Perspectives on Insurance Today, chapter 0, pages 299-310, Palgrave Macmillan.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chiou, Yan-Yu, 2017. "Insurance activities, globalization, and economic growth: New methods, new evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 155-170.
    2. Eglantina Zyka & Elena Myftaraj (Tomori), 2014. "Factors affecting the insurance sector development: Evidence from Albania," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(51), pages 171-188, March.
    3. Relwendé Sawadogo, 2021. "The relationship between insurance and banking sectors in Sub-Saharan African: Does globalization matter?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 101-119, February.
    4. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, B. Mak & Norman, Neville R. & Nair, Mahendhiran & Hall, John H., 2016. "Insurance penetration and economic growth nexus: Cross-country evidence from ASEAN," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 447-458.
    5. Relwende Sawadogo, Samuel Guerineau and Idrissa M. Ouedraogo, 2018. "Life Insurance Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 43(2), pages 1-28, June.
    6. Elena Nebolsina, 2020. "The Impact of Demographic Burden on Insurance Density," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, December.
    7. Zekai Senol & Fatma Zeren & Mehmet Canakci, 2020. "The Relationship Between Insurance and Economic Growth," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 16(4), pages 145-155.
    8. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lin, Chun-Wei & Zeng, Jhih-Hong, 2016. "Financial liberalization, insurance market, and the likelihood of financial crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 25-51.
    9. Rudra P. Pradhan & Mak B. Arvin & Sahar Bahmani & Sara E. Bennett & John H. Hall, 2017. "Insurance–growth nexus and macroeconomic determinants: evidence from middle-income countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1337-1366, June.
    10. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2012. "The impact of real income on insurance premiums: Evidence from panel data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 246-260.
    11. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Huang, Wei-Ling & Yin, Chun-Hao, 2013. "The dynamic interactions among the stock, bond and insurance markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 28-52.
    12. Liu, Guan-Chun & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2016. "The nexus between insurance activity and economic growth: A bootstrap rolling window approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 299-319.
    13. J. François Outreville, 2011. "The relationship between insurance growth and economic development - 80 empirical papers for a review of the literature," ICER Working Papers 12-2011, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
    14. Rudra P. Pradhan & Saurav Dash & Rana Pratap Maradana & Manju Jayakumar & Kunal Gaurav, 2017. "Insurance market density and economic growth in Eurozone countries: the granger causality approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24, December.
    15. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chiu, Yi-Bin & Chang, Chi-Hung, 2013. "Insurance demand and country risks: A nonlinear panel data analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 68-85.
    16. Chien-Chiang Lee & Tie-Ying Liu, 2017. "Insurance development, banking activities, and regional output: evidence from China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 1059-1081, November.
    17. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chang, Chi-Hung & Arouri, Mohamed & Lee, Chi-Chuan, 2016. "Economic growth and insurance development: The role of institutional environments," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 361-369.
    18. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Norman, Neville R., 2015. "Insurance development and the finance-growth nexus: Evidence from 34 OECD countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-22.
    19. Chakraborty, Kalyan, 2020. "Development of financial market activities and economic growth: A cross-country evidence," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 60, pages 26-47.
    20. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2020. "Insurance Policy Thresholds for Economic Growth in Africa," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 32(3), pages 672-689, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    insurance market development; insurance penetration; GDP per capita; S-curve; Western Balkan countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:ecothe:v:60:y:2022:i:2:p:221-236:n:4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.