IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/uwp/landec/v95y2019i2p279-291.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Timberland Investment under Both Financial and Biophysical Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Bin Mei
  • David N. Wear
  • Jesse D. Henderson

Abstract

We extend real options analysis of timberland investments to examine a combination of financial and biophysical risk effects on optimal investment strategies in the southeastern United States. Results show that, despite a slight downward drift in price, expected returns for loblolly pine management fall between entry and exit thresholds, indicating an optimal “hold†strategy. This is explained by an offsetting upward trend in biophysical productivity associated with climate changes across a range of modeled futures. Monte Carlo analysis indicates a small positive difference between entry and exit outcomes consistent with observed rates of expansion in timberland investments in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Bin Mei & David N. Wear & Jesse D. Henderson, 2019. "Timberland Investment under Both Financial and Biophysical Risk," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 95(2), pages 279-291.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:95:y:2019:i:2:p:279-291
    Note: DOI: 10.3368/le.95.2.279
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://le.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/95/2/279
    Download Restriction: A subscripton is required to access pdf files. Pay per article is available.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mei, Bin, 2019. "Timberland investments in the United States: A review and prospects," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    2. Zhao, Jianheng & Daigneault, Adam & Weiskittel, Aaron & Wei, Xinyuan, 2023. "Climate and socioeconomic impacts on Maine's forests under alternative future pathways," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    3. Henderson, Jesse D. & Abt, Robert C. & Abt, Karen L. & Baker, Justin & Sheffield, Ray, 2022. "Impacts of hurricanes on forest markets and economic welfare: The case of hurricane Michael," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    4. Labbé, Rodrigo & Niklitschek, Mario & Contreras, Marco, 2023. "Effect of climate change on the land rent of radiata pine plantations in Chile: Site productivity and forest fires," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    5. Henderson, Jesse D. & Parajuli, Rajan & Abt, Robert C., 2020. "Biological and market responses of pine forests in the US Southeast to carbon fertilization," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    6. Chudy, R.P. & Chudy, K.A. & Kanieski da Silva, B. & Cubbage, F.W. & Rubilar, R. & Lord, R., 2020. "Profitability and risk sources in global timberland investments," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:95:y:2019:i:2:p:279-291. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://le.uwpress.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.