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Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War

Author

Listed:
  • Sandra Orozco-Aleman
  • Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano

Abstract

We examine the effect of the increase in violence that Mexico experienced after launching an aggressive campaign against drug-trafficking organizations on immigration into the United States. We instrument for violence using electoral cycles and consider two channels through which violence impacts migration: local and transit violence. Violence at the municipality of residence increased migration. Conversely, violence on the route to the United States deterred individuals from migrating. Back-of-the-envelope calculations show that between 2007 and 2012, local and transit violence had an overall positive effect on migration. Violence was responsible for a 1.53 percentage point increase in the migration rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Orozco-Aleman & Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano, 2018. "Drug Violence and Migration Flows: Lessons from the Mexican Drug War," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 53(3), pages 717-749.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:53:y:2018:i:3:p:717-749
    Note: DOI: 10.3368/jhr.53.3.0215-6948R4
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    File URL: http://jhr.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/53/3/717
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Di Maio, Michele & Leone Sciabolazza, Valerio & Molini, Vasco, 2023. "Migration in Libya: A spatial network analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Duque, Valentina, 2019. "Violence and Children’s Education: Evidence from Administrative Data," Working Papers 2019-16, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    3. Pardo Montaño, Ana Melisa & Dávila Cervantes, Claudio Alberto, 2023. "Efecto de la recepción de remesas en la violencia. Una aproximación para el caso de México," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 56, pages 33-50.
    4. Bucheli, José R. & Fontenla, Matías & Waddell, Benjamin James, 2019. "Return migration and violence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 113-124.
    5. Clemens, Michael A., 2021. "Violence, development, and migration waves: Evidence from Central American child migrant apprehensions," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    6. García-Ramos, Aixa, 2021. "Divorce laws and intimate partner violence: Evidence from Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    7. David Escamilla-Guerrero & Edward Kosack & Zachary Ward, 2023. "The Impact of Violence during the Mexican Revolution on Migration to the United States," NBER Working Papers 31531, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Arteaga, Julian & Shenoy, Ashish, 2022. "Mexican migration flows and agricultural labor markets in the U.S," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322311, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Sandra Orozco-Aleman & Heriberto Gonzalez-Lozano, 2018. "Labor Market Effects of Immigration Policies Border Enforcement and Amnesty," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 150-177, June.
    10. Valentina Duque, 2024. "Violence and Children’s Education: Evidence From Administrative Data," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 68(5), pages 903-937, May.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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