IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/usm/journl/aamjaf01502_1-27.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing Bank Stability in Malaysia in the Framework of Distance to Default

Author

Listed:
  • Asish Saha

    (Amrita Shergil FLAME, School of Business, FLAME University, Pune-412115 India)

  • Nor Hayati Ahmad

    (School of Islamic Banking, Universiti Utara Malaysia, 06010 UUM Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia)

  • Lim Hick Eam

    (School of Economic, Finance and Banking, Universiti Utara Malaysia, 06010 UUM Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia)

  • Siew Goh Yeok

    (School of Banking and Risk Management, Universiti Utara Malaysia, 06010 UUM Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia)

Abstract

Post global financial crisis central banks worldwide have been crucially concerned about ensuring financial stability in any economy. Malaysia is not an exception where Bank Negara Malaysia has been playing a pivotal role in ensuring continuing safety and soundness of the financial system of the country. In the present paper, we assess the stability of domestic banks in the country using the Distance to Default (DTD). No such analytical study on Malaysian banking has so far been reported in the literature. Using the data of the financial performance of banks during the period 2001 to 2014, their stock price information on daily basis and the corresponding KLCI index, and the daily yield of Malaysian Government Securities, we compute and analyse the DTD of banks at the individual level and also assess the contribution of individual banks to systemic risk. We also assess the robustness of the framework by analysing the cases of two banks which were merged during the period 2001 to 2010. The findings of the study are expected generate extensive research interest in this arena and would also be beneficial to the investor population at large who would be keen in knowing the underpinning of the systemic stability in the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Asish Saha & Nor Hayati Ahmad & Lim Hick Eam & Siew Goh Yeok, 2019. "Assessing Bank Stability in Malaysia in the Framework of Distance to Default," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 15(2), pages 1-27.
  • Handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf01502_1-27
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://web.usm.my/journal/aamjaf/aamjaf15022019/aamjaf15022019_1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Acharya, Viral V., 2009. "A theory of systemic risk and design of prudential bank regulation," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 224-255, September.
    2. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    3. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2010. "Regulatory Capital Charges for Too-Connected-to-Fail Institutions: A Practical Proposal," IMF Working Papers 2010/098, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Altman, Edward I. & Saunders, Anthony, 1997. "Credit risk measurement: Developments over the last 20 years," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(11-12), pages 1721-1742, December.
    5. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    6. Isabelle Distinguin & Philippe Rous & Amine Tarazi, 2006. "Market Discipline and the Use of Stock Market Data to Predict Bank Financial Distress," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 30(2), pages 151-176, October.
    7. West, Robert Craig, 1985. "A factor-analytic approach to bank condition," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 253-266, June.
    8. Betz, Frank & Oprică, Silviu & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Sarlin, Peter, 2014. "Predicting distress in European banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 225-241.
    9. Harada, Kimie & Ito, Takatoshi & Takahashi, Shuhei, 2013. "Is the Distance to Default a good measure in predicting bank failures? A case study of Japanese major banks," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 70-82.
    10. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & Paul Atkinson & Caroline Roulet, 2014. "Bank business models and the Basel system: Complexity and interconnectedness," OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2013(2), pages 43-68.
    11. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2016. "CoVaR," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1705-1741, July.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2011. "CoVaR," NBER Working Papers 17454, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. David C. Wheelock & Paul W. Wilson, 2000. "Why do Banks Disappear? The Determinants of U.S. Bank Failures and Acquisitions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 127-138, February.
    13. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & Caroline Roulet, 2013. "Business models of banks, leverage and the distance-to-default," OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2012(2), pages 7-34.
    14. Adrian Blundell-Wignall & Caroline Roulet, 2014. "Macro-prudential policy, bank systemic risk and capital controls," OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2013(2), pages 7-28.
    15. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:4:p:923-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Hull, John & White, Alan, 1995. "The impact of default risk on the prices of options and other derivative securities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 299-322, May.
    17. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:4:p:909-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Wilcox, Jw, 1973. "Prediction Of Business Failure Using Accounting Data," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11, pages 163-179.
    19. Harada, Kimie & Ito, Takatoshi, 2011. "Did mergers help Japanese mega-banks avoid failure? Analysis of the distance to default of banks," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 1-22, March.
    20. Andrew G. Haldane & Robert M. May, 2011. "Systemic risk in banking ecosystems," Nature, Nature, vol. 469(7330), pages 351-355, January.
    21. Milne, Alistair, 2014. "Distance to default and the financial crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 26-36.
    22. Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Enrica Detragiache, 1998. "The Determinants of Banking Crises in Developing and Developed Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 45(1), pages 81-109, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xin Huang & Hao Zhou & Haibin Zhu, 2012. "Systemic Risk Contributions," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 55-83, October.
    2. Benjamin Hippert & André Uhde & Sascha Tobias Wengerek, 2019. "Determinants of CDS trading on major banks," Working Papers Dissertations 51, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.
    3. Kinateder, Harald & Choudhury, Tonmoy & Zaman, Rashid & Scagnelli, Simone D. & Sohel, Nurul, 2021. "Does boardroom gender diversity decrease credit risk in the financial sector? Worldwide evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Calluzzo, Paul & Dong, Gang Nathan, 2015. "Has the financial system become safer after the crisis? The changing nature of financial institution risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 233-248.
    5. Eriksson, Kent & Jonsson, Sara & Lindbergh, Jessica & Lindstrand, Angelika, 2014. "Modeling firm specific internationalization risk: An application to banks’ risk assessment in lending to firms that do international business," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 1074-1085.
    6. Diego Avanzini & Alejandro Jara, 2013. "A PCA Approach to Common Risk Exposures in the Chilean Banking System," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 707, Central Bank of Chile.
    7. Tonmoy Choudhury & Simone Scagnelli & Jaime Yong & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2021. "Non-Traditional Systemic Risk Contagion within the Chinese Banking Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-16, July.
    8. IJtsma, Pieter & Spierdijk, Laura, 2017. "Systemic risk with endogenous loss given default," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 145-157.
    9. Kleinow, Jacob & Moreira, Fernando, 2016. "Systemic risk among European banks: A copula approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 27-42.
    10. Ebrahimi Kahou, Mahdi & Lehar, Alfred, 2017. "Macroprudential policy: A review," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 92-105.
    11. Rainer Masera, 2011. "Taking the moral hazard out of banking: the next fundamental step in financial reform," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(257), pages 105-142.
    12. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2009_035 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Kreis, Yvonne & Leisen, Dietmar P.J., 2018. "Systemic risk in a structural model of bank default linkages," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 221-236.
    14. Nina Boyarchenko & Richard K. Crump & Anna Kovner & Or Shachar, 2021. "Corporate Bond Market Distress," Staff Reports 957, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    15. Christina Bui, 2018. "Bank Regulation and Financial Stability," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 5-2018, January-A.
    16. Srivastav, Abhishek & Keasey, Kevin & Mollah, Sabur & Vallascas, Francesco, 2017. "CEO turnover in large banks: Does tail risk matter?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55.
    17. Ellis, Scott & Sharma, Satish & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "Systemic risk measures and regulatory challenges," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    18. Zineddine Alla & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Qiaoluan H. Li & Miguel A. Segoviano, 2018. "Macroprudential Stress Tests: A Reduced-Form Approach to Quantifying Systemic Risk Losses," IMF Working Papers 2018/049, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Black, Lamont & Correa, Ricardo & Huang, Xin & Zhou, Hao, 2016. "The systemic risk of European banks during the financial and sovereign debt crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 107-125.
    20. Segoviano, Miguel & Espinoza, Raphael, 2017. "Consistent measures of systemic risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118947, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    21. Andrieş, Alin Marius & Nistor, Simona & Sprincean, Nicu, 2020. "The impact of central bank transparency on systemic risk—Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:usm:journl:aamjaf01502_1-27. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Journal Division, Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aammmea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.