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The impact of real effective exchange rate on revealed comparative advantage and trade balance of Pakistan

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  • Muhammad Siddique
  • Ahsan Anwar
  • Muhammad Abdul Quddus

Abstract

This study estimates the effects of devaluation and appreciation of real effective exchange rate (REER) on revealed comparative advantage (RCA) at Harmonized System 2-digit level of exports in Pakistan. A non-linear Autoregressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) technique is applied to test the asymmetric evidence. This study employs two models to explore the export performance. Findings/Originality: The results of model 1 estimation confirm the proof of asymmetric ARDL and concludes that devaluation has a positive effect on selected RCA’s index value and helps enhance exports of Pakistan. Meanwhile, the appreciation of REER is having an adverse impact. Model-2 estimates the effect of these selected RCA’s, REER, and world aggregated income (Yw) on the trade balance (TB) of Pakistan. The results estimate that an increase in selected RCA’s index values, world aggregated income, and REER depreciation is useful to decrease in deficit TB of Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Siddique & Ahsan Anwar & Muhammad Abdul Quddus, 2020. "The impact of real effective exchange rate on revealed comparative advantage and trade balance of Pakistan," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 12(2), pages 193-207.
    • Handle: RePEc:uii:journl:v:12:y:2020:i:2:p:193-207:id:14518
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    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Yunpeng & Anwar, Ahsan & Razzaq, Asif & Liang, Xueping & Siddique, Muhammad, 2022. "Asymmetric role of renewable energy, green innovation, and globalization in deriving environmental sustainability: Evidence from top-10 polluted countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 280-290.
    2. Zhou, Bingjun & Huang, Yan & Gao, Ke & Luo, Chunyang, 2024. "How geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty impact coal, natural gas, and oil rent? Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Adedotun Joseph Adenigbo & Joash Mageto & Rose Luke, 2023. "Effect of shipping trade on economic growth in Nigeria: the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, December.

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