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An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Qtrly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level

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  • Zarnowitz, Victor

Abstract

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  • Zarnowitz, Victor, 1979. "An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Qtrly Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 52(1), pages 1-33, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:52:y:1979:i:1:p:1-33
    DOI: 10.1086/296031
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mark Baimbridge & Philip Whyman, 1997. "Institutional macroeconomic forecasting performance of the UK economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(6), pages 373-376.
    2. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
    3. Victor Zarnowitz, 1987. "The Regularity of Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 2381, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 122-157, March.
    5. Timmermann, Allan & Elliott, Graham & Komunjer, Ivana, 2003. "Estimating Loss Function Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers 3821, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. repec:lan:wpaper:539557 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. David G. Hudak, 1994. "Adjusting Triangular Distributions for Judgmental Bias," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 14(6), pages 1025-1031, December.
    8. Gamber, Edward N. & Hakes, David R., 2005. "Is monetary policy important for forecasting real growth and inflation?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 177-187, March.
    9. Paulo Júlio & Pedro M. Esperança, 2012. "Evaluating the forecast quality of GDP components: An application to G7," GEE Papers 0047, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Apr 2012.
    10. Paulo Júlio & Pedro M. Esperança & João C. Fonseca, 2011. "Evaluating the forecast quality of GDP components," GEE Papers 0041 Classification-C52, , Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Oct 2011.
    11. Heinisch, Katja, 2024. "Step by step - A quarterly evaluation of EU Commission's GDP forecasts," IWH Discussion Papers 22/2024, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    12. repec:lan:wpaper:413 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Victor Zarnowitz, 1982. "Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys," NBER Working Papers 0845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Ooft, Gavin, 2018. "Modelling and Forecasting Inflation for the Economy of Suriname," EconStor Preprints 215534, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    15. Victor Zarnowitz, 1986. "The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 2099, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. repec:lan:wpaper:470 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Victor Zarnowitz, 1983. "Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 1070, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. repec:lan:wpaper:425 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Ooft, Gavin, 2020. "Forecasting Monthly Inflation: An Application To Suriname," Studies in Applied Economics 144, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.

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