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Financial Liberalization in India and a New Test of the Complementarity Hypothesis

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  • Pentecost, Eric J
  • Moore, Tomoe

Abstract

This article reappraises the financial repression hypothesis for India in light of the partial liberalization of the financial sector in the early 1990s, using for the first time state-of-the-art multivariate cointegration and vector error correction models (VECM). From this more robust testing procedure, we find that for the Indian economy over the sample period 1951-99, money and capital are complementary, suggesting that higher real interest rates will further raise the demand for money and lead to higher levels of investment. Furthermore, testing for a structural break in the early 1990s--to coincide with the liberalization of the financial sector in India--suggests that these reforms have not significantly changed the complementary relationship between money and capital. The policy implication is that further financial liberalization maybe required in India to enhance investment and economic growth.

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  • Pentecost, Eric J & Moore, Tomoe, 2006. "Financial Liberalization in India and a New Test of the Complementarity Hypothesis," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(2), pages 487-502, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:ecdecc:y:2006:v:54:i:2:p:487-502
    DOI: 10.1086/497007
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    1. Moore, Tomoe, 2010. "A Critical Appraisal of McKinnon's Complementarity Hypothesis: Does the Real Rate of Return on Money Matter for Investment in Developing Countries?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 260-269, March.
    2. Anne-Laure Delatte & Julien Fouquau & Carsten Holz, 2014. "Explaining money demand in China during the transition from a centrally planned to a market-based monetary system," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 376-400, September.
    3. repec:zbw:bofitp:2011_027 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Anne-Laure Delatte & Julien Fouquau & Carsten Holz, 2014. "Explaining money demand in China during the transition from a centrally planned to a market-based monetary system," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 376-400, September.
    5. James Ang & Kunal Sen, 2011. "Private saving in India and Malaysia compared: the roles of financial liberalization and expected pension benefits," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 247-267, October.
    6. Muntazir Hussain & Usman Bashir & Ramiz Ur Rehman, 2024. "Exchange Rate and Stock Prices Volatility Connectedness and Spillover during Pandemic Induced-Crises: Evidence from BRICS Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 183-203, March.
    7. Muhammad Mehtab AZEEM & Ayub MOHAMMAD, 2015. "Money and Physical Capital Relationship: McKinnon’s Complementarity Hypothesis on Turkey’s Economy," Expert Journal of Finance, Sprint Investify, vol. 3(1), pages 21-30.
    8. Tronzano, Marco, 2011. "“Finance and Growth: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence for the Indian Economy” - Finanza e crescita: un riesame dell’evidenza empirica nel caso dell’India," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 64(3), pages 329-364.
    9. Delatte, Anne-Laure & Holz, Carsten, 2013. "Understanding Money Demand in the Transition from a Centrally Planned to a Market Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 9721, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Mmolainyane, Kelesego K., 2014. "Financial integration, capital market development and economic performance: Empirical evidence from Botswana," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-14.

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