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URBANISATION, PRIMATIE ET eTAPES DE DeVELOPPEMENT : EXISTE-T-IL UNE COURBE EN CLOCHE ?

Author

Listed:
  • Maurice CATIN

    (LEAD, Universite du Sud Toulon-Var)

  • Saïd HANCHANE

    (LEST, CNRS)

  • Abdelhak KAMAL

    (LEAD, Universite du Sud Toulon-Var)

Abstract

Un modele empirique est propose pour analyser les principaux determinants de l’evolution du taux d’urbanisation et du degre de primatie urbaine dans les pays en developpement, distingues en trois groupes de niveau de revenu par tete, et verifier de là l’existence ou non d’une courbe en cloche qui fait l’objet de controverses dans la litterature. Les resultats du modele, estime par periodes quinquennales de 1950 à 2000 en panel avec variables instrumentales, montrent que : (i) la progression du taux d’urbanisation jusqu’à un certain pic est plus poussee par l’exode agricole que par la croissance du revenu par tete ; (ii) la primatie suit une certaine courbe en cloche, avec une certaine marge d’indetermination dans sa trajectoire. La diffusion de la population vers les villes de rang inferieur est d’autant plus marquee que la croissance du revenu par tete est forte, la baisse de l’emploi agricole limitee, l’ouverture internationale plus poussee, la croissance demographique elevee, les infrastructures de transport plus importantes, les specialisations productives moins orientees vers les industries de biens primaires.

Suggested Citation

  • Maurice CATIN & Saïd HANCHANE & Abdelhak KAMAL, 2008. "URBANISATION, PRIMATIE ET eTAPES DE DeVELOPPEMENT : EXISTE-T-IL UNE COURBE EN CLOCHE ?," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 27, pages 83-108.
  • Handle: RePEc:tou:journl:v:27:y:2008:p:83-108
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Adou, Niango Sika Antoine Brice, 2020. "Trade Openness and Employment, Implications on Urbanisation in Sub-Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 104317, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    URBANISATION; PRIMATIE URBAINE; COURBE EN CLOCHE; eTAPES DE DeVELOPPEMENT;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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