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Playing with matches: An assessment of accuracy in linked historical data

Author

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  • Catherine G. Massey

Abstract

This article evaluates linkage quality achieved by various record linkage techniques used in historical demography. The author creates benchmark, or truth, data by linking the 2005 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement to the Social Security Administration's numeric identification system by social security number. By comparing simulated linkages to the benchmark data, she examines the value added (in terms of number and quality of links) from incorporating text-string comparators, adjusting age, and using a probabilistic matching algorithm. She finds that text-string comparators and probabilistic approaches are useful for increasing the linkage rate, but use of text-string comparators may decrease accuracy in some cases. Overall, probabilistic matching offers the best balance between linkage rates and accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine G. Massey, 2017. "Playing with matches: An assessment of accuracy in linked historical data," Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 129-143, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:vhimxx:v:50:y:2017:i:3:p:129-143
    DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2017.1288598
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ran Abramitzky & Roy Mill & Santiago Pérez, 2020. "Linking individuals across historical sources: A fully automated approach," Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 94-111, April.
    2. Auke Rijpma & Jeanne Cilliers & Johan Fourie, 2020. "Record linkage in the Cape of Good Hope Panel," Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 112-129, April.
    3. Martha J. Bailey & Connor Cole & Morgan Henderson & Catherine Massey, 2020. "How Well Do Automated Linking Methods Perform? Lessons from US Historical Data," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(4), pages 997-1044, December.
    4. Dahl, Christian M. & Johansen, Torben S.D. & Sørensen, Emil N. & Wittrock, Simon, 2023. "HANA: A handwritten name database for offline handwritten text recognition," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    5. Bennett, Robert J. & Montebruno, Piero & Van Lieshout, Carry & Smith, Harry, 2022. "Business entry and exit: career changes of proprietors in England and Wales (1851-81) using record-linkage," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113867, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Tyler Anbinder & Dylan Connor & Cormac Ó Gráda & Simone Wegge, 2021. "The Problem of False Positives in Automated Census Linking: Evidence from Nineteenth-Century New York's Irish Immigrants," Working Papers 202114, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    7. Joseph Price & Kasey Buckles & Jacob Van Leeuwen & Isaac Riley, 2019. "Combining Family History and Machine Learning to Link Historical Records," NBER Working Papers 26227, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Giacomin Favre, 2019. "Bias in social mobility estimates with historical data: evidence from Swiss microdata," ECON - Working Papers 329, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
    9. Alexander, Rohan & Ward, Zachary, 2018. "Age at Arrival and Assimilation During the Age of Mass Migration," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 78(3), pages 904-937, September.
    10. Price, Joseph & Buckles, Kasey & Van Leeuwen, Jacob & Riley, Isaac, 2021. "Combining family history and machine learning to link historical records: The Census Tree data set," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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