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The exchange regime and trade balance in Turkey

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  • Raif Cergibozan
  • Ali Ari

Abstract

Over the last 15 years, high trade deficits have become a source of external vulnerability for the relatively stabilized Turkish economy. This corresponds to the period where authorities have been following a floating exchange rate regime. Thus, this study aims to empirically show whether the adopted exchange rate regime has an impact on the trade balance for the period of 1987 Q1 to 2015 Q2. Estimation results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between the real effective exchange rate and trade balance under both fixed and floating regimes in Turkey, but there is no evidence for the J-curve hypothesis.

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  • Raif Cergibozan & Ali Ari, 2018. "The exchange regime and trade balance in Turkey," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 363-387, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:32:y:2018:i:4:p:363-387
    DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2017.1412372
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    Cited by:

    1. Hao-Chang Yang & Ferry Syarifuddin & Chun-Ping Chang & Hai-Jie Wang, 2022. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Futures Fluctuations on Macroeconomy: Evidence from Ten Trading Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(8), pages 2300-2313, June.

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