IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/uiiexx/v47y2015i5p471-486.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Degradation modeling for real-time estimation of residual lifetimes in dynamic environments

Author

Listed:
  • Linkan Bian
  • Nagi Gebraeel
  • Jeffrey P. Kharoufeh

Abstract

This article presents a methodology for modeling degradation signals from components functioning under dynamically evolving environment conditions. In situ sensor signals related to the degradation process are utilized as well as the environment conditions, to predict and update, in real-time, the distribution of a component’s residual lifetime. The model assumes that the time-dependent rate at which a component’s degradation signal increases (or decreases) is affected by the severity of the current environmental or operational conditions. These conditions are assumed to evolve as a continuous-time Markov chain. Unique to the proposed model is the union of historical data with real-time, sensor-based data to update the signal parameters, environment parameters, and the residual lifetime distribution of the component within a Bayesian framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Linkan Bian & Nagi Gebraeel & Jeffrey P. Kharoufeh, 2015. "Degradation modeling for real-time estimation of residual lifetimes in dynamic environments," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 471-486, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:uiiexx:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:471-486
    DOI: 10.1080/0740817X.2014.955153
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/0740817X.2014.955153
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/0740817X.2014.955153?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mo, Huadong & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2019. "Impact of aging and performance degradation on the operational costs of distributed generation systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 426-439.
    2. Xu, Huyang & Fard, Nasser & Fang, Yuanchen, 2020. "Time series chain graph for modeling reliability covariates in degradation process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    3. Abdenour Soualhi & Mourad Lamraoui & Bilal Elyousfi & Hubert Razik, 2022. "PHM SURVEY: Implementation of Prognostic Methods for Monitoring Industrial Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, September.
    4. Wang, Xiaofei & Wang, Bing Xing & Jiang, Pei Hua & Hong, Yili, 2020. "Accurate reliability inference based on Wiener process with random effects for degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    5. Tao, Tao & Zio, Enrico & Zhao, Wei, 2018. "A novel support vector regression method for online reliability prediction under multi-state varying operating conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 35-49.
    6. Long, Junqi & Chen, Chuanhai & Liu, Zhifeng & Guo, Jinyan & Chen, Weizheng, 2022. "Stochastic hybrid system approach to task-orientated remaining useful life prediction under time-varying operating conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    7. Jingyuan Shen & Lirong Cui, 2017. "Reliability performance for dynamic multi-state repairable systems with regimes," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(9), pages 911-926, September.
    8. Wen, Yuxin & Wu, Jianguo & Das, Devashish & Tseng, Tzu-Liang(Bill), 2018. "Degradation modeling and RUL prediction using Wiener process subject to multiple change points and unit heterogeneity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 113-124.
    9. Li, Naipeng & Gebraeel, Nagi & Lei, Yaguo & Bian, Linkan & Si, Xiaosheng, 2019. "Remaining useful life prediction of machinery under time-varying operating conditions based on a two-factor state-space model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 88-100.
    10. Peihua Jiang, 2022. "Statistical Inference of Wiener Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Model with Random Effects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-18, August.
    11. Thirupathi Samala & Vijaya Kumar Manupati & Maria Leonilde R. Varela & Goran Putnik, 2021. "Investigation of Degradation and Upgradation Models for Flexible Unit Systems: A Systematic Literature Review," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, February.
    12. Thirupathi Samala & Vijaya Kumar Manupati & Bethalam Brahma Sai Nikhilesh & Maria Leonilde Rocha Varela & Goran Putnik, 2021. "Job Adjustment Strategy for Predictive Maintenance in Semi-Fully Flexible Systems Based on Machine Health Status," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-20, May.
    13. Sun, Xuxue & Mraied, Hesham & Cai, Wenjun & Zhang, Qiong & Liang, Guoyuan & Li, Mingyang, 2018. "Bayesian latent degradation performance modeling and quantification of corroding aluminum alloys," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 84-96.
    14. Liu, Yu & Liu, Qinzhen & Xie, Chaoyang & Wei, Fayuan, 2019. "Reliability assessment for multi-state systems with state transition dependency," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 276-288.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:uiiexx:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:471-486. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/uiie .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.