IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/transp/v26y2003i1p69-103.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A multi-layer scenario analysis for sustainable international transport

Author

Listed:
  • Barry Ubbels
  • Caroline Rodenburg
  • Peter Nijkamp

Abstract

This article considers the development of the international transport sector based on four globalization scenarios. These four images of the future transportation market are constructed at three different levels (global, European and Dutch). The possible consequences of these scenarios are mapped out not only by key aspects such as modal split and spatial organization but also by providing empirical insights into expected transport flows for both passenger and freight transport in 2020 based on data from 1995.

Suggested Citation

  • Barry Ubbels & Caroline Rodenburg & Peter Nijkamp, 2003. "A multi-layer scenario analysis for sustainable international transport," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 69-103, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:26:y:2003:i:1:p:69-103
    DOI: 10.1080/03081060309910
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03081060309910
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/03081060309910?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yoshitsugu Hayashi & Kenneth Button & Peter Nijkamp (ed.), 1999. "The Environment and Transport," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1517.
    2. World Bank, 1996. "Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries 1996," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 32391.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ülengin, Füsun & Işık, Mine & Ekici, Şule Önsel & Özaydın, Özay & Kabak, Özgür & Topçu, Y. İlker, 2018. "Policy developments for the reduction of climate change impacts by the transportation sector," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 36-50.
    2. Melander, Lisa & Dubois, Anna & Hedvall, Klas & Lind, Frida, 2019. "Future goods transport in Sweden 2050: Using a Delphi-based scenario analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 178-189.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ubbels, Barry & Rodenburg, Caroline & Nijkamp, Peter, 2000. "Different perspectives on the global development of transport," Serie Research Memoranda 0026, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    2. Jürgen Zattler, 1996. "Trade policy in developing countries," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 31(5), pages 229-236, September.
    3. Sawaneh, Banna, 2022. "Conceptual Clarifications Of Public Service Delivery, Public Policy, Public Administration And Governance In The Gambia," Ilorin Journal of Business and Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Ilorin, vol. 24(1), pages 38-58, February.
    4. Fischer, Bernhard, 1998. "Globalization and the competitiveness of regional blocks in comparative perspective," HWWA Discussion Papers 50, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    5. Schafer, Andreas & Victor, David G., 2000. "The future mobility of the world population," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 171-205, April.
    6. Yeats, Alexander J., 1998. "What can be expected from African regional trade arrangements? some empirical evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2004, The World Bank.
    7. Adelheid Holl & Ilaria Mariotti, 2018. "The Geography of Logistics Firm Location: The Role of Accessibility," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 337-361, June.
    8. Scholtens, Bert & Kleinsmann, Renske, 2011. "Incentives for subcontractors to adopt CO2 emission reporting and reduction techniques," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1877-1883, March.
    9. Gounder, Rukmani, 2003. "Effectiveness of Globalization: A Case Study of Fiji," Sri Lankan Journal of Agricultural Economics, Sri Lanka Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA), vol. 5, pages 1-23.
    10. Alexandratos, Nikos, 1996. "China's projected cereals deficits in a world context," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, September.
    11. Cristea, Anca & Hummels, David & Puzzello, Laura & Avetisyan, Misak, 2013. "Trade and the greenhouse gas emissions from international freight transport," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 153-173.
    12. Nissan, Edward & Carter, George, 2002. "Ranking Regional Air and Water Environmental Degradations," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 32(1), pages 69-85, Winter/Sp.
    13. Fink, Carsten & Braga, Carlos A. Primo, 1999. "How stronger protection of intellectual property rights affects international trade flows," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2051, The World Bank.
    14. Ruzzenenti, F. & Basosi, R., 2009. "Evaluation of the energy efficiency evolution in the European road freight transport sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 4079-4085, October.
    15. Ng, Francis & Yeats, Alexander, 1997. "Open economies work better! did Africa's protectionist policies cause its marginalization in world trade?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 25(6), pages 889-904, June.
    16. Nijkamp, Peter & Verhoef, Erik & Ubbels, Barry, 2001. "Sustainable mobility," Serie Research Memoranda 0008, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    17. Fischer, Bernhard, 1998. "Globalization and the Competitiveness of Regional Blocs in Comparative Perspective," Discussion Paper Series 26182, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
    18. Bojkovic, Natasa & Anic, Ivan & Pejcic-Tarle, Snezana, 2010. "One solution for cross-country transport-sustainability evaluation using a modified ELECTRE method," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(5), pages 1176-1186, March.
    19. Ramon Garrabou & Enric Tello & Xavier Cussó, 2006. "Between specialization and globalization. The marketing of agrarian products and its environmental impacts seen from a historical perspective: the province of Barcelona in the mid-nineteenth century," UHE Working papers 2006_06, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Departament d'Economia i Història Econòmica, Unitat d'Història Econòmica.
    20. Sapsford, David & Singer, Hans, 1998. "The IMF, the world bank and commodity prices: A case of shifting sands?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(9), pages 1653-1660, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:26:y:2003:i:1:p:69-103. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/GTPT20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.