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Electoral conflict and the maturity of local democracy in Indonesia: testing the modernisation hypothesis

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  • Mohammad Zulfan Tadjoeddin

Abstract

This paper constructs an electoral hostility index for 282 local direct elections (PILKADA) of district heads during 2005–2007 and examines the socio-economic determinants of local democratic maturity in Indonesia. There are 67 PILKADAs (out of 282) categorised as having medium, high or very high levels of electoral hostility. The picture is dominated by hostilities directed towards the local elections commission after voting day. The large sample quantitative analysis employs ordered logistic regression. The results show some evidence in support of the modernisation hypothesis in the context of Indonesia's local democracies. Higher PILKADA hostility or less mature local democracy tends to be experienced by districts with lower income, higher poverty incidence and less urbanised. The results also imply that democracy cannot be deepened in the absence of economic development.

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  • Mohammad Zulfan Tadjoeddin, 2012. "Electoral conflict and the maturity of local democracy in Indonesia: testing the modernisation hypothesis," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 476-497.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjapxx:v:17:y:2012:i:3:p:476-497
    DOI: 10.1080/13547860.2012.694705
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    1. Robert J. Barro, 1998. "Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Empirical Study," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262522543, April.
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    3. Acemoglu,Daron & Robinson,James A., 2009. "Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521671422.
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    Cited by:

    1. Samuel Bazzi & Matthew Gudgeon, 2021. "The Political Boundaries of Ethnic Divisions," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 235-266, January.
    2. Ngusmanto Ngusmanto, 2016. "Pilkada 2015 and Patronage Practice among Bureaucrat in West Kalimantan, Indonesia," Asian Social Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 236-236, September.
    3. Azis Iwan J. & Pratama Alvin, 2020. "Polarization and Local Conflicts in Post Decentralization Indonesia," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 26(2), pages 1-28, May.

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