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Public debt and pro-poor economic growth evidence from South Asian countries

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  • Naeem Akram

Abstract

Over the years, most developing countries have failed to collect enough revenues to finance their budgets. As a result, they face the problem of twin deficits and are relying on public external and domestic debt to finance their developmental activities. NGOs and anti-globalisation movements have propagated the view that instead of reducing poverty public debt has increased the miseries of the poor. The current study examines the consequences of public debt for economic growth and poverty regarding selected South Asian countries, i.e., Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, for the period 1975–2010. It develops an empirical model that incorporates the role of public debt into growth equations and the model is extended to incorporate the effects of debt on poverty. The model is estimated by using standard panel data estimation methodologies. The results shows that although public debt has a negative impact on economic growth, neither public external debt nor external debt servicing has a significant relationship with income inequality, suggesting that public external debt is as good/bad for poor as it is for rich. However, domestic debt has a positive relationship with economic growth and a negative relationship with the GINI coefficient, indicating that domestic debt is pro-poor.

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  • Naeem Akram, 2016. "Public debt and pro-poor economic growth evidence from South Asian countries," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 746-757, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:29:y:2016:i:1:p:746-757
    DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2016.1197550
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    Cited by:

    1. Thaveesha Jayawardhana & Ruwan Jayathilaka & Sachini Anuththara & Thamasha Nimnadi & Ridhmi Karadanaarachchi & Kethaka Galappaththi, 2024. "Exploring the Dynamics of the Elderly Population and Economic Growth: A Comparative Analysis Across Continents," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 543-568, July.
    2. Naeem Akram, 2023. "Household’s Saving Behaviour in Pakistan: A Micro-Data Analysis," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 11(2), pages 139-156, August.
    3. Ekpe, John Polycarp & Ogbuabor, Jonathan E., 2023. "Foreign Debt, Institutional Quality and Economic Performance in Nigeria: An Experimental Evaluation," MPRA Paper 119735, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Aug 2023.
    4. Olumide Olusegun Olaoye & Mosab I. Tabash & Olatunde Julius Omokanmi & Rotimi Ayoade Ogunjumo & Matthew Oyeleke Ojelade & James A. Ishola, 2022. "Macroeconomic implications of escalating stock of public debt: Evidence from sub‐Saharan African economies," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(4), pages 527-540, December.
    5. Olumide Olusegun Olaoye & Phillip A. Olomola, 2023. "Sub‐Saharan Africa's rising public debt stock: Is there a cause for concern?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 91(1), pages 85-115, March.
    6. MT Musakwa & N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "The Impact of Foreign Capital Inflows on Poverty in Vietnam: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers AESRI-2021-10, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Oct 2021.

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