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Impact of news-based equity market volatility on international stock markets

Author

Listed:
  • Abdullah Alqahtani
  • Michael J. Wither
  • Zhankui Dong
  • Kimberly R. Goodwin

Abstract

This study examines the long run impacts of equity market volatility on index returns of nine major international stock exchanges in the Western and Asian regions. This study employs the text-based Economic Market Volatility (EMV) index to measure the degree of uncertainty in the U.S. stock market. Using monthly data from December 2001 to August 2018, the estimation results derived using the standard and nonlinear ARDL models deliver several key messages. First, rising U.S. stock market volatility exhibits significant and negative impacts on stock market returns, except for the stock markets of China, Hong Kong, and India whose impacts are negative but insignificant. Second, the use of the nonlinear ARDL model does not show any signs of asymmetry in the relationship between stock market returns and changes in the EMV index, suggesting that the change in the EMV index has symmetric effects on the changes in major stock indices.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdullah Alqahtani & Michael J. Wither & Zhankui Dong & Kimberly R. Goodwin, 2020. "Impact of news-based equity market volatility on international stock markets," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 224-234, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:recsxx:v:23:y:2020:i:1:p:224-234
    DOI: 10.1080/15140326.2020.1729571
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    Cited by:

    1. Georgios Fatouros & Konstantinos Metaxas & John Soldatos & Dimosthenis Kyriazis, 2024. "Can Large Language Models Beat Wall Street? Unveiling the Potential of AI in Stock Selection," Papers 2401.03737, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    2. Hong, Yanran & Wang, Lu & Ye, Xiaoqing & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Dynamic asymmetric impact of equity market uncertainty on energy markets: A time-varying causality analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 535-546.
    3. Papadamou, Stephanos & Fassas, Athanasios P. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2023. "Effects of the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic on implied stock market volatility: International evidence using a google trend measure," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    4. SOSA-CASTRO, Miriam, 2022. "Equity Market Volatility Impact On S&P 500 Sector Indexes, 1989-2021," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 22(1), pages 39-60.
    5. Haykir, Ozkan & Yagli, Ibrahim & Aktekin Gok, Emine Dilara & Budak, Hilal, 2022. "Oil price explosivity and stock return: Do sector and firm size matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Muhammad Enamul Haque & Mahmood Osman Imam, 2024. "Does the Bangladesh Equity Market Expose to Disposition Effects Bias under Different Market Conditions?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, July.

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