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Joint tests of contagion with applications

Author

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  • Renée Fry-McKibbin
  • Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao
  • Vance L. Martin

Abstract

Joint tests of contagion are derived which are designed to have power where contagion operates simultaneously through coskewness, cokurtosis and covolatility. Finite sample properties of the new tests are evaluated and compared with existing tests of contagion that focus on a single channel. Applying the tests to daily euro zone equity returns from 2005 to 2014 shows that contagion operated mainly through higher order moment channels during the GFC and the European debt crisis, which were not necessarily detected by traditional tests based on correlations. The empirical results have important implications for pricing risk and constructing well diversified portfolios.

Suggested Citation

  • Renée Fry-McKibbin & Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & Vance L. Martin, 2019. "Joint tests of contagion with applications," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 473-490, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:19:y:2019:i:3:p:473-490
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2018.1475747
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    Cited by:

    1. Fry-McKibbin, Renée & Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Qi, Lin, 2022. "Higher-order comoment contagion among G20 equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    2. Reinhold Heinlein & Scott M. R. Mahadeo, 2023. "Oil and US stock market shocks: Implications for Canadian equities," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 56(1), pages 247-287, February.
    3. Ou, Yinlin & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chui, Chin Man, 2024. "How does the supply chain market respond to policy shocks? Evidence from solar photovoltaic sectors in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    4. Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & James Morley, 2022. "Debt and financial market contagion," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1599-1648, April.
    5. Yu-Ling Hsiao, Cody & Wei, Xinyang & Sheng, Ni & Shao, Chengwu, 2021. "A joint test of policy contagion with application to the solar sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    6. Jarosław Duda & Henryk Gurgul & Robert Syrek, 2022. "Multi-feature evaluation of financial contagion," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 30(4), pages 1167-1194, December.
    7. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2024. "Financial contagion and networks among the oil and BRICS stock markets during seven episodes of crisis events," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    8. Fry-McKibbin, Renée & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Martin, Vance L., 2021. "Measuring financial interdependence in asset markets with an application to eurozone equities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    9. Krzysztof Brania & Henryk Gurgul, 2021. "Contagion effects on capital and forex markets around GFC and COVID-19 crises. A comparative study," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 31(2), pages 59-92.
    10. Yu-Ling Hsiao, Cody & Ai, Dan & Wei, Xinyang & Sheng, Ni, 2021. "The contagious effect of China’s energy policy on stock markets: The case of the solar photovoltaic industry," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 74-86.
    11. Meng-Shiuh Chang & Meng-Wei Chen & Peijie Ju, 2023. "Asymmetry in Hedges, Safe Havens, Flights and Contagion: Unconditional Quantile Regression Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.
    12. Dony Abdul Chalid & Rangga Handika, 2022. "Comovement and contagion in commodity markets," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2064079-206, December.
    13. Aboagye, Ernest & Ko, Stanley Iat-Meng & Lo, Chia Chun & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Peng, Liang, 2024. "A contagion test with unspecified heteroscedastic errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    14. Cody Yu-Ling Hsiao & Weishun Lin & Xinyang Wei & Gaoyun Yan & Siqi Li & Ni Sheng, 2019. "The Impact of International Oil Prices on the Stock Price Fluctuations of China’s Renewable Energy Enterprises," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-17, December.
    15. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Yang, Rui & Zheng, Xin & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2023. "Evaluations of policy contagion for new energy vehicle industry in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    16. Atasoy, Burak Sencer & Özkan, İbrahim, 2024. "Correlation meets causality: A holistic measure of financial contagion," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    17. Atasoy, Burak Sencer & Özkan, İbrahim & Erden, Lütfi, 2024. "The determinants of systemic risk contagion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    18. Yu-Ling Hsiao, Cody & Sheng, Ni & Fu, Shenze & Wei, Xinyang, 2022. "Evaluation of contagious effects of China's wind power industrial policies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).

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